Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 12/28/20 NFL Picks and Prediction

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots: 12/28/20 NFL Picks and Prediction Photo by Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (6-8) vs Buffalo Bills (11-3)

Game Info: Monday, December 28, 2020 at 8:15 pm (Gillette Stadium)

Betting Odds: New England Patriots +7 -- Over/Under: 44 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Buffalo Bills will travel to Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots this Monday night in NFL action.

The Buffalo Bills won their 4th straight game and improved to 11-3 on the season after defeating the Denver Broncos, 48-19, this past Saturday. Buffalo dominated Denver on both ends of the field and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 35-13 lead early in the quarter on a 21-yard Fumble return for a TD by Jerry Hughes. Buffalo outgained Denver by a 534-255 margin and forced 1 turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Bills was QB Josh Allen who completed 28 of 40 passes for 359 yards & 2 TD’s while also adding 2 rushing TD’s.

Offensively, Buffalo is averaging 29.1 ppg on 397.8 total yards per game (289.6 passing yds/g; 108.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Buffalo has been led by QB Josh Allen who has completed 68.7% of his passes for 4,000 yards (313.9 passing yds/g), 30 TD, & 9 INT. Allen has also been a threat with his legs as he has 383 rushing yards & 8 TD’s. The top receiving threats for the Bills have been Stefon Diggs (111 rec, 1,314 yards, 5 TD), Cole Beasley (79 rec, 950 yards, 4 TD), & Gabriel Davis (30 rec, 459 yards, 6 TD). Leading the way for the Buffalo backfield has been the duo of Zack Moss (97 att, 416 yards, 3 TD) & Devin Singletary (143 att, 644 yards, 2 TD).

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Defensively, Buffalo is allowing their opponents to average 24.3 ppg on 369.6 total yards per game (248.2 passing yds/g; 121.4 rushing yds/g).

The New England Patriots lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 6-8 on the season after being defeated by the Miami Dolphins, 22-12, this past Sunday. New England led by a 6-0 margin going into halftime, however, the Patriots struggled against the Miami rushing attack in the 2nd half and could not fight back after Miami took a 15-9 lead early in the 4th quarter on a 3-yard TD run by Tua Tagovailoa. New England was outgained by Miami by a 383-303 margin and committed 1 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Patriots was WR Jakobi Meyers who had 7 receptions for 111 yards.

On the season, New England is averaging 20.6 ppg on 344.3 total yards per game (198.9 passing yds/g; 145.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New England has been led by RB Damien Harris who has 691 yards & 2 TD on 137 carries. Harris was out last game due to an injury and if he isn’t able to go in this one the backfield will be led by Sony Michel (53 att, 304 yards, 1 TD) & James White (31 att, 107 yards, 2 TD; 42 rec, 321 yards). QB Cam Newton has completed 65.9% of his passes for 2,381 yards, 5 TD & 10 INT while also rushing for 489 yards & 11 TD. The top receiving threats for the Patriots have been Jakobi Meyers (49 rec, 616 yards) & Damiere Byrd (45 rec, 590 yards, TD).

Defensively, New England is holding their opponents to an average of 21.5 ppg on 355.3 total yards per game (222.3 passing yds/g; 133.0 rushing yds/g).

The Bills are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.

These two teams are heading in very different directions as the Bills have already won the AFC East while the Patriots won’t make the playoffs for the first time since 2008. New England has looked completely loss on the offensive end throughout the season as they have little to no passing attack and while they also look like that will be without Stephen Gilmore, I think the Bills take a decade worth of frustrations on the New England in this one and covers this large road spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Buffalo Bills -7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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