Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints: 12/20/20 NFL Picks and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints: 12/20/20 NFL Picks and Prediction Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Saints (10-3) vs Kansas City Chiefs (12-1)

Game Info: Sunday, December 20, 2020 at 4:25 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

Betting Odds: New Orleans Saints +3.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Chiefs will travel to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints this Sunday afternoon in NFL action.

The Kansas City Chiefs won their 8th straight game and improved to 12-1 on the season after defeating the Miami Dolphins, 33-27, this past Sunday. Kansas City found themselves down by a 10-0 margin early in the 2nd quarter against the improved Dolphins, however, Kansas City finally got into their offensive groove and was able to hand on late after 30 unanswered points gave the Chiefs a 30-10 lead with 6:52 left in the 3rd quarter. Kansas City outgained Miami by a 448-367 margin, however, did lose the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Chiefs was TE Travis Kelce who had 8 receptions for 136 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Kansas City is averaging 31.0 ppg on 439.0 total yards per game (327.3 passing yds/g; 111.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kansas City has been led by QB Patrick Mahomes who has completed 68.4% of his passes for 4,2208 yards, 33 TD, & 5 INT. The top receiving targets for Mahomes and the Chiefs have been Travis Kelce (90 rec, 1,250 yards, 9 TD), Tyreek Hill (77 rec, 1,158 yards, 14 TD), Mecole Hardman (33 rec, 489 yards, 3 TD), and Demarcus Robinson (35 rec, 352 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Kansas City backfield has been Clyde Edwards-Helaire (167 att, 724 yards, 4 TD; 35 rec, 293 yards, TD) and Le’Veon Bell (41 att, 162 yards, TD).

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Defensively, Kansas City is holding their opponents to an average of 21.6 ppg on 369.3 total yards per game (240.9 passing yds/g; 128.4 rushing yds/g).

The New Orleans Saints had their 9-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 10-3 on the season after being upset by the Philadelphia Eagles, 24-21, this past Sunday. New Orleans had no answers for the rushing duo of RB Miles Sanders & QB Jalen Hurts of the Eagles and could not fight all the way back after Philadelphia went into halftime with a 17-0 lead. New Orleans was outgained by Philadelphia by a 413-358 margin while also the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Saints was QB Taysom Hill who completed 28 of 28 passes for 291 yards, 2 TD, & 1 INT.

On the season, New Orleans is averaging 20.4 ppg on 315.5 total yards per game (226.4 passing yds/g; 89.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Orleans has been led by the backfield duo of Alvin Kamara (154 att, 723 yards, 10 TD; 77 rec, 699 yards, 4 TD) and Latavius Murray (130 att, 581 yards, 4 TD; 18 rec, 126 yards). QB Drew Brees (73.5 CMP %, 2,196 yards, 18 TD, 3 INT) has been injured and missed the last few weeks, however, TE/QB Taysom Hill (72.3 CMP %, 920 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT; 73 att, 395 yards, 5 TD) has done a nice job filling in for the Saints. The top receivers for New Orleans have been Emmanuel Sanders (44 rec, 504 yards, 4 TD), Michael Thomas (40 rec, 438 yards), Tre’Quan Smith (33 rec, 423 yards, 4 TD), and Jared Cook (28 rec, 350 yards, 6 TD).

Defensively, New Orleans is holding their opponents to an average of 20.4 ppg on 315.5 total yards per game (226.4 passing yds/g; 89.2 rushing yds/g).

The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, however, are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 December games. The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.

Kansas City is the best team in the NFL, however, they have been awful ATS as of late as they continue to allow teams to hit a backdoor cover. New Orleans didn’t look like the team we’ve seen in recent weeks against Philadelphia, however, this is still a very good football team even with Drew Brees being sidelined. New Orleans is a tough place to play, even without fans, and as I think the Saints have the type of team that can success against Kansas City as they have a strong passing defense and an offense that can run the ball to keep Mahomes off the field, I think the play here is to take New Orleans and the points in this one. Good Luck.

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Brett’s Pick New Orleans Saints +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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