Green Bay Packers (10-3) vs Carolina Panthers (4-9)
Game Info: Saturday, December 19, 2020 at 8:15 pm (Lambeau Field)
Betting Odds: Green Bay Packers -8 -- Over/Under: 51.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Carolina Panthers will travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers this Saturday night in NFL action.
The Carolina Panthers lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-9 on the season after being defeated by the Denver Broncos, 32-27, this past Sunday. Carolina’s defense struggled against Drew Lock and the Broncos passing attack and could not fight back after Denver took a 32-20 lead on Lock’s 4th TD pass of the day with just 3:54 left in regulation. Carolina outgained Denver by a 370-365 margin and forced 1 turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Panthers was RB Mike Davis who had 93 total yards (51 rushing; 42 receiving) & 2 TD’s.
On the season, Carolina is averaging 23.6 ppg on 396.6 total yards per game (261.8 passing yds/g; 107.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Carolina has been led by QB Teddy Bridgewater who has completed 70.7% of his passes for 3,102 yards, 14 TD, & 8 INT. The top receiving threats for the Panthers have been Robby Anderson (83 rec, 996 yards, 2 TD), DJ Moore (50 rec, 924 yards, 4 TD), and Curtis Samuel (61 rec, 585 yards, 3 TD). Moore missed last week due to Covid-19 but should be back this week. In the backfield for the Panthers has been Mike Davis (137 att, 555 yards, 5 TD; 57 rec, 371 yards, 2 TD) who has replaced the injured Christian McCaffrey (59 att, 225 yards, 5 TD; 17 rec, 149 yards, 1 TD). McCaffrey hasn’t been ruled out for this game, but I think at this point we certainly need to go on the assumption that he will be out.
Defensively, Carolina is allowing their opponents to average 25.5 ppg on 374.3 total yards per game (260.7 passing yds/g; 113.6 rushing yds/g).
The Green Bay Packers won their 3rd straight game and improved to 10-3 on the season after defeating the Detroit Lions, 31-24, this past Sunday. Green Bay allowed Detroit to stay in the game late after a 2-yard Kerryon Johnson TD cut the Packers lead to a 28-21 margin, however, the Packers were able to pull away after a 57-yard Mason Crosby FG gave Green Bay a 10-point lead with just 3:30 left in regulation. Green Bay outgained Detroit by a 410-293 margin and didn’t commit a turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Packers was QB Aaron Rodgers who completed 26 of 33 passes for 290 yards & 3 TD’s while also adding a rushing TD.
On the season, Green Bay is averaging 31.5 ppg on 407.3 total yards per game (283.5 passing yds/g; 123.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Green Bay has been led by QB Aaron Rodgers who has completed 69.6% of his passes for 3,685 yards, 39 TD, & 4 INT. The top targets for Rodgers and the Packers have been Davante Adams (91 rec, 1,144 yards, 14 TD), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (31 rec, 603 yards, 5 TD), Robert Tonyan (46 rec, 533 yards, 9 TD), and Allen Lazard (24 rec, 364 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Green Bay backfield has been Aaron Jones (160 att, 823 yards, 7 TD; 38 rec, 285 yards, 2 TD) & Jamaal Williams (113 att, 473 yards, 2 TD).
Defensively, Green Bay is holding their opponents to an average of 24.8 ppg on 352.9 total yards per game (243.2 passing yds/g; 109.7 rushing yds/g).
The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. NFC opponents.
Carolina has lost 7 of their last 8 games and although the offense has been able to put up some points without Christian McCaffrey, the defense has certainly struggled as they come into this game ranked 20th in scoring defense & 22nd passing defense. Green Bay has Aaron Rodgers & Davante Adams both playing at an MVP level and as I think the Green Bay comes out strong knowing that they are in the driver’s seat for the top-seed of the NFC Playoffs after the Saints losing last week, I think Green Bay wins this one by double digits and covers this spread. Good Luck!
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Brett’s Pick Green Bay Packers -8
AUTHOR: Brett Nault
Mitch's Take...
