Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs: 12/6/20 NFL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs (10-1) vs Denver Broncos (4-7)
Game Info: Sunday, December 6, 2020 at 8:20 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -13 -- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: NBC Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The Denver Broncos will travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on take on the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday night in NFL action.
The Denver Broncos dropped to 4-7 on the season after being defeated by the New Orleans Saints, 31-3, this past Sunday. It was a predicable outcome as the Broncos came into this game with no options at QB due to Coivd-19 and had to go with Kendall Hinton (practice squad WR) who ended up completing just one pass the entire game. Denver was outgained by New Orleans by a 292-112 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Broncos was RB Royce Freeman who had 50 rushing yards on 8 carries.
On the season, Denver is averaging 19.0 ppg on 341.4 total yards per game (227.9 passing yds/g; 113.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Denver has been led by the RB duo of Melvin Gordon III (134 att, 554 yards, 6 TD) and Phillip Lindsay (82 att, 414 yards, TD). QB Drew Lock has completed 55.6% of his passes for 1,767 yards (206.1 yds/g), 7 TD, & 11 INT. The top receiving threats for the Broncos have been Jerry Jeudy (37 rec, 589 yards, 2 TD), Tim Patrick (36 rec, 563 yards, 3 TD), Noah Fant (40 rec, 435 yards, 2 TD), and KJ Hamler (25 rec, 275 yards, TD).
Defensively, Denver is allowing their opponents to average 27.1 ppg on 359.0 total yards per game (227.7 passing yds/g; 131.3 rushing yds/g).
The Kansas City Chiefs won their 6th straight game and improved to 10-1 on the season after defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 27-24, this past Saturday. The final score made the game look closer than it was as the Chiefs dominated Tampa Bay for the first three quarters and held on after entering the 4th quarter with a 27-10 lead. Kansas City outgained Tampa Bay by a 543-417 margin and forced Tampa Bay into committing two turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Chiefs was WR Tyreek Hill who had a historic day with 13 receptions for 269 yards & 3 TD’s.
On the season, Kansas City is averaging 31.6 ppg on 433.5 total yards per game (322.2 passing yds/g; 111.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kansas City has been led by QB Patrick Mahomes who has completed 68.8% of his passes for 3,497 yards (337.5 yds/g), 30 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving threats for the Chiefs have been Tyreek Hill (68 rec, 1,021 yards, 13 TD), Travis Kelce (74 rec, 978 yards, 7 TD), Mecole Hardman (29 rec, 434 yards, 3 TD), Demarcus Robinson (32 rec, 300 yards, 2 TD), and Sammy Watkins (35 rec, 260 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Kansas City backfield is the duo of Clyde Edwards-Helaire (151 att, 692 yards, 4 TD; 30 rec, 234 yards, 1 TD) and Le’Veon Bell (28 att, 101 yards, TD).
Defensively, Kansas City is holding their opponents to an average of 21.6 ppg on 370.5 total yards per game (242.3 passing yds/g; 128.2 rushing yds/g).
The Broncos are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss, however, are just 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs. AFC West opponents. The Chiefs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Denver didn’t have any new positive tests on Monday which bodes well that they will at least get someone that plays QB under center this weekend, however, even if they get Drew Lock back, I think this is still going to be a rough game for the Broncos. Denver’s offense has really struggled with turnovers this season and as Kansas City is still trying to catch the Pittsburgh Steelers for the top-seed in the AFC, I expect the Chiefs offense to be rolling at home.
This is a bunch of points to cover in a rivalry game, however, as I just don’t see Denver having the offense to keep up with the Chiefs, I see Kansas City covering this large spread. Good Luck!