Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11/29/20 NFL Picks and Prediction

Defensively, Kansas City is allowing their opponents to average 21.4 ppg on 365.5 total yards per game (232.0 passing yds/g; 133.5 rushing yds/g).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers dropped to 7-4 on the season after being defeated by the Los Angeles Rams, 27-24, this past Monday night. Tampa Bay struggled to get anything going on the ground against the Rams defense and although they had a chance to force OT late, the Rams were able to seal the victory after picking off Tom Brady for the 2nd time of the game with just 1:56 left in the game. Tampa Bay was outgained by Los Angeles by a 413-251 margin and committed two turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Buccaneers was WR Chris Godwin who had 7 receptions for 57 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Tampa Bay is averaging 29.1 ppg on 366.9 total yards per game (268.6 passing yds/g; 98.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Tampa Bay has been led by QB Tom Brady who has completed 64.7% of his passes for 2,955 yards (269.4 yds/g), 25 TD, & 9 INT. The top receiving targets for Brady have been Mike Evans (45 rec, 563 yards, 9 TD), Chris Godwin (41 rec, 465 yards, 3 TD), Rob Gronkowski (31 rec, 399 yards, 4 TD), and Antonio Brown (18 rec, 154 yards). Leading the way for the Buccaneers backfield has been the duo of Ronald Jones II (153 att, 754 yards, 5 TD) and Leonard Fournette (66 att, 261 yards, 3 TD).

Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing their opponents to average 23.0 ppg on 332.2 total yards per game (259.2 passing yds/g; 73.0 rushing yds/g).

The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss, however, are just 2-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Kansas City comes into this game as the Super Bowl favorites (+300) and although they have arguably the best offense in the league, it is a bit concerning that their defense as has allowed a combined 62 points over their last two games against the Panthers & Raiders. Tampa Bay hasn’t looked great recently in their big matchups, however, the offense is still very dangerous and with multiple weapons at the receiver position, I think Brady could have success against a secondary that was just carved up by Derek Carr. Overall, I think this is going to be a close game that is going to come down to the end and because of that, I am taking the home team and the points. Good Luck!