Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins: 11/15/20 NFL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Miami Dolphins (5-3) vs Los Angeles Chargers (2-6)
Game Info: Sunday, November 15, 2020 at 4:05 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)
Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -2.5 -- Over/Under: 47 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Los Angeles Chargers will travel to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins this Sunday afternoon in NFL action.
The Los Angeles Chargers lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 2-6 on the season after being defeated by the Las Vegas Raiders, 31-26, this past Sunday. Los Angeles had a great opportunity to pull out the victory after driving down to the Raiders goal line late in the 4th quarter, however, came up short on two pass attempts in the closing seconds and could not pull off the victory. Los Angeles outgained Las Vegas by a 440-320 margin and committed one turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Chargers was QB Justin Herbert who completed 28 of 42 passes for 326 yards & 2 TD’s.
On the season, Los Angeles is averaging 25.6 ppg on 430.4 total yards per game (294.8 passing yds/g; 135.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Los Angeles has been led by QB Justin Herbert who has completed 67.3% of his passes for 2,176 yards (330.3 yds/g), 17 TD & 5 INT. The top receiving threats for the Charges have been Keenan Allen (62 rec, 651 yards, 4 TD), Mike Williams (23 rec, 393 yards, 3 TD), and Hunter Henry (33 rec, 357 yards, TD). Los Angeles has suffered some injuries in their backfield as both Austin Ekeler is out indefinitely while Justin Jackson could not go last week after hurting his knee in warmups. Leading the way for the Chargers backfield this week if Jackson cannot go will be Kalen Ballage (15 att, 69 yards, TD) and Joshua Kelley (91 att, 292 yards, TD).
Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing their opponents to average 27.0 ppg on 369.5 total yards per game (251.3 passing yds/g; 118.3 rushing yds/g).
The Miami Dolphins won their 4th straight game and improved to 5-3 on the season after defeating the Arizona Cardinals, 34-31, this past Sunday. Miami trailed by a 31-24 margin entering the 1st quarter, however, the defense came up with some big plays late and the Dolphins were able to secure the victory after scoring 10 unanswered points to close out the game. Miami was outgained by Arizona by a 442-312 margin, however, did win the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Dolphins was Tua Tagovailoa who completed 20 of 28 passes for 248 yards & 2 TD’s.
On the season, Miami is averaging 27.8 ppg on 332.8 total yards per game (235.6 passing yds/g; 97.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Miami is being led by rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa who has completed 65.4% of his passes for 350 yards 7 3 TD and 2-0 since replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick (70.1 comp %, 278.3 yds/g, 10 TD, 7 INT). The top receiving threats for the Dolphins have been DeVante Parker (36 rec, 431 yards, 3 TD), Mike Gesicki (22 rec, 331 yards, 2 TD), and Preston Williams (18 rec, 16.0 yards, 4 TD). Williams had to leave the game early agianst Arizona due to a foot injury and is currently questionable. The Miami backfield is banged up as they lost Myles Gaskin indefinitely due to a knee injury and was with Matt Breida last week due to a hamstring injury. Leading the way for the Dolphins backfield if Breida cannot go this week will be Salvon Ahmed (7 att, 38 yards) and Jordan Howard (28 att, 33 yards, 4 TD).
Defensively, Miami is holding their opponents to an average of 20.1 ppg on 406.8 total yards per game (275.0 passing yds/g; 131.8 rushing yds/g).
The Chargers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, however, are just 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Los Angeles have to be thrilled by how their rookie QB, Justin Herbert, has looked since taking over under center, however, the Chargers have had trouble picking up wins as they continue to lose close games. Miami, although having a banged-up backfield and their own rookie QB going, continues to win games behind a defense that ranks 4th in scoring defense. Los Angeles is a decent team despite their record, however, between the fact that Miami is a tough place to play and that Tagovailoa looked very solid last week behind center, I think the Dolphins continue their winning streak and do enough to cover this small home spread. Good Luck!