Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons - 11/8/20 NFL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
Atlanta Falcons (2-6) vs Denver Broncos (3-4)
Game Info: Sunday, November 8, 2020 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)
Betting Odds: Atlanta Falcons -4 -- Over/Under: 47 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Denver Broncos will travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons this Sunday afternoon in NFL action.
The Denver Broncos improved to 3-4 on the season after defeating the Los Angeles Chargers, 31-30, this past Sunday. Denver struggled early in this one and found themselves down by a 24-3 margin midway through the 2nd quarter, however, the Broncos were outstanding offensively in the 4th quarter and was able to pull out a dramatic victory after scoring the game-winning TD on a 1-yard TD pass to KJ Hamler as time expired in regulation. Denver was outgained by Los Angeles by a 485-351 margin, however, did win the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Broncos was QB Drew Lock who completed 26 of 41 passes for 248 yards, 3 TD, & 1 INT.
On the season, Denver is averaging 21.0 ppg on 349.1 total yards per game (236.3 passing yds/g; 112.9 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Denver has been led by QB Drew Lock who has completed 58.0% of his passes for 927 yards (187.6 yds/g), 4 TD, & 5 INT. In the backfield for the Broncos has been the duo of Melvin Gordon III (90 att, 375 yards, 4 TD) and Phillip Lindsay (45 att, 287 yards, TD). The top receiving threats for the Broncos have been Jerry Jeudy (23 rec, 359 yards, TD), Tim Patrick (23 rec, 354 yards, 2 TD), Noah Fant (29 rec, 304 yards, 2 TD), and KJ Hamler (11 rec, 115 yards, TD).
Defensively, Denver is allowing their opponents to average 26.1 ppg on 379.0 total yards per game (255.6 passing yds/g; 123.4 rushing yds/g).
The Atlanta Falcons improved to 2-5 on the season after defeating the Carolina Panthers, 25-17, on October 29th. In one of their best defensive performances of the season, Atlanta was able to hold off the Panthers late after taking a 25-17 lead early in the 4th quarter on a 3-yard TD run by Todd Gurley. Atlanta outgained Carolina by a 401-304 margin and forced one turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Flacons was Julio Jones who had 7 receptions for 137 yards.
On the season, Atlanta is averaging 26.1 ppg on 416.4 total yards per game (307.8 passing yds/g; 108.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Atlanta has been led by QB Matt Ryan who has completed 66.8% of his passes for 2,462 yards, 12 TD, and 4 INT. The top receiving threats for the Falcons have been Calvin Ridley (43 rec, 657 yards, 6 TD), Julio Jones (38 rec, 584 yards, 2 TD), Russell Gage (33 rec, 368 yards, TD), and Hayden Hurst (30 rec, 349 yards, 3 TD). Ridley is currently questionable after having to leave the recent game against Carolina due to a foot injury. Leading the way for the Atlanta backfield has been the duo of Todd Gurley II (140 att, 531 yards, 8 TD) and Brian Hill (48 att, 219 yards, TD).
Defensively, Atlanta is allowing their opponents to average 28.0 ppg on 423.0 total yards per game (323.8 passing yds/g; 99.3 rushing yds/g).
The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Falcons are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and just 1-14 ATS in their last 15 games vs. AFC opponents.
Atlanta is coming off their best game of the season, however, this is still a team that has disappointed this season and I just can’t trust that their defense will have another solid performance after seeing them get torched throughout the season. Denver isn’t a flashy team but they have been solid on both sides of the ball and as I think this is a game that is going to come down to the final possession, I’m going to take Denver and the points. Good Luck!
Brett’s Pick Denver Broncos +4
AUTHOR: Brett Nault
Mitch's Take...
