Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers: 11/1/20 NFL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports
Green Bay Packers (5-1) vs Minnesota Vikings (1-5)
Game Info: Sunday, November 1, 2020 at 1:00 pm (Lambeau Field)
Betting Odds: Green Bay Packers -6.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Minnesota Vikings will travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers this Sunday afternoon in NFL action.
The Minnesota Vikings lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 1-5 on the season after being defeated by the Atlanta Falcons, 40-23, on October 18th. Minnesota came out flat agianst the Falcons and could not fight back into the game after going into halftime trailing by a 23-0 margin. Minnesota was outgained by Atlanta by a 462-365 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Vikings was WR Justin Jefferson who has 166 receiving yards & 3 TD’s on 9 receptions.
On the season, Minnesota is averaging 25.8 ppg on 385.0 total yards per game (245.8 passing yds/g; 139.2 rushing yards/g). Offensively, Minnesota has been led by RB Dalvin Cook who had 489 yards & 7 TD’s on 92 carries. Cook missed last game due to a groin injury, however, should be available for this matchup. QB Kirk Cousins has completed 64.6% of his passes for 1,475 passing yds/g (255.0 yds/g), 11 TD, & 11 INT. The top receiving threats for Cousins and the Vikings have been Justin Jefferson (28 rec, 537 yards, 3 TD), Adam Thielen (32 rec, 415 yards, 7 TD), Irv Smith Jr. (10 rec, 133 yards), and Kyle Rudolph (10 rec, 123 yards, TD).
Defensively, Minnesota is allowing their opponents to average 32.0 ppg on 424.8 total yards per game (297.8 passing yds/g; 127.0 rushing yds/g).
The Green Bay Packers bounced back from their lost to Tampa Bay and improved to 4-1 on the season after defeating the Houston Texans, 35-20, this past Sunday. Green Bay was outstanding offensively agianst the Texans and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 21-0 lead into halftime. Green Bay outgained Houston by a 379-365 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Packers was WR Devante Adams who had 196 yards & 2 TD on 13 receptions.
On the season, Green Bay is averaging 32.8 ppg on 408.3 total yards per game (276.2 passing yds/g; 132.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Green Bay has been led by QB Aaron Rodgers who has completed 65.9% of his passes for 1,657 yards (282.7 passing yds/g), 17 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving threats for Rodgers and the Packers have been Davante Adams (36 rec, 449 yards, 4 TD), Allen Lazard (13 rec, 254 yards, 2 TD), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (15 rec, 242 yards, TD), and Robert Tonyan (18 rec, 230 yards, 5 TD). Lazard is currently on IR due to a core muscle injury and is doubtful for this game. RB Aaron Jones, who missed last weeks game due to a calf strain has 389 yards & 5 TD on 75 carries while also hauling in 18 receptions for 161 yards & 2 TD. RB Jamaal Williams has also been productive as he has 219 yards & 1 TD on 52 carries.
Defensively, Green Bay is allowing their opponents to average 26.5 ppg on 368.5 total yards per game (258.5 passing yds/g; 110.0 rushing yds/g).
The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home, however, are just 7-15 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Minnesota is a better team than what they have shown this season, however, it is hard to back the Vikings between their defense that ranks 30th in scoring defense and with how Kirk Cousins (10 INT) is currently playing. Green Bay should have their trio of offensive starts in Rodgers, Jones, & Adams available and as the Green Bay defense has been solid agianst the run which should put the pressure on Cousins to generate offense, I think the play here is to take the Packers to cover this home spread.