Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: 10/18/20 NFL Picks and Prediction
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) vs Cleveland Browns (3-1)
Game Info: Sunday, October 18, 2020 at 1:00 pm (Heinz Field)
Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Cleveland Browns will travel to Heinz Field to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers this Sunday afternoon in NFL action.
The Cleveland Browns won their 4th straight game and improved to 4-1 on the season after defeating the Indianapolis Colts, 32-23, this past Sunday. Cleveland’s offense was outstanding against an Indianapolis defense that came into this game allowing the fewest ppg in the NFL and was able to hold of the Colts for a victory after a pick-six by the Browns Ronnie Harrison Jr. gave Cleveland a 27-10 lead early in the 3rd quarter. Cleveland outgained Indianapolis by a 385-308 margin and forced two turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Browns was QB Baker Mayfield who completed 21 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 2 TD, and 2 INT.
On the season, Cleveland is averaging 31.2 ppg on 394.6 total yards per game (206.2 passing yds/g; 188.4 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Cleveland has been led by backfield duo of Nick Chubb (57 att, 83.8 yds, 4 TD) & Kareem Hunt (70 att, 69.4 yds/g, 3 TD; 11 rec, 63 yards, 3 TD). Chubb is currently on IR due to a knee injury suffered recently agianst the Cowboys, however, the Browns have arguably the best backup in the league in Hunt who has looked outstanding so far this season. QB Baker Mayfield has completed 61.2% of his passes for 976 yards (201.6 yds/g), 9 TD, & 4 INT. The top receiving threats for the Browns have been Odell Beckham Jr (21 rec, 294 yards, 3 TD), Jarvis Landry (21 rec, 279 yards), and Austin Hooper (17 rec, 153 yards, TD).
Defensively, Cleveland is allowing their opponents to average 29.8 ppg on 400.8 total yards per game (313.8 passing yds/g; 87.0 rushing yds/g).
The Pittsburgh Steelers stayed perfect on the season, improving to 4-0 on the year, after defeating the Philadelphia Eagles, 38-29, this past Sunday. Pittsburgh was able to take a 31-14 lead early in the 3rd quarter, however, needed a late TD to pull away for the victory after the Eagles made a 31-29 game with 11:27 left in the 4th quarter. Pittsburgh outgained Philadelphia by a 367-336 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Steelers was WR Chase Claypool who had 110 yards & 3 TD’s on 7 receptions.
On the season, Pittsburgh is averaging 29.5 ppg on 392.8 total yards per game (254.0 passing yds/g; 138.8 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Pittsburgh has been led by QB Ben Roethlisberger who has completed 69.9% of his passes for 1,016 yards (254.5 yds/g), 10 TD, & 1 INT. The top targets for Roethlisberger and the Steelers have been Chase Claypool (13 rec, 261 yards, 4 TD), JuJu Smith-Schuster (21 rec, 188 yards, 3 TD), Eric Ebron (14 rec, 156 yards, TD), and Diontae Johnson (15 rec, 147 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Pittsburgh backfield has been the duo of James Conner (55 att, 67.0 yds/g, 3 TD) and Benny Snell Jr. (36 att, 37.0 yds/g).
Defensively, Pittsburgh is holding their opponents to an average of 21.8 ppg on 337.8 total yards per game (273.8 passing yds/g; 64.0 rushing yds/g).
The Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win, however, are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Steelers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Cleveland has had an outstanding start to their season, however, I still think it’s too early to determine if the Browns are legitimate this season as despite having an outstanding offense, their defense has struggled and the teams they’ve beaten during their winning streak are currently have a combined record of 7-12-1. Pittsburgh is dangerous on both sides of the football as they have a solid passing that should have plenty of success against Cleveland’s 30th ranked pass defense and a defense, that despite giving big plays, is ranked 3rd in the NFL in total yards allowed per game. Cleveland has struggled ATS on the road and as I think we’re going to see Cleveland play more like the team that lost on the road to Baltimore by a 38-6 margin to start the season, I think Pittsburgh does enough to cover this home spread. Good Luck.