Free Picks Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: NFL Picks and Prediction 10/4/20

Los Angeles Chargers (1-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 4, 2020 at 1:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7.5 -- Over/Under: 45 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Chargers will travel to Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this Sunday afternoon in NFL action.

The Los Angeles Chargers lost their 2nd straight and dropped to 1-2 on the season after being defeated by the Carolina Panthers, 21-16, this past Sunday. Los Angeles struggled with turnovers and could not fight back after a Joey Slye’s 5th FG of the day gave the Panthers a 21-10 lead with 10:58 left in regulation. Los Angeles outgained by Carolina by a 436-302 margin, however, lost the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Chargers was WR Keenan Allen who ended with 13 receptions for 132 yards and a TD.

On the season, Los Angeles is averaging 17.3 ppg on 434.7 total yards per game (283.0 passing yds/g; 151.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Los Angeles has been led by RB Austin Ekeler who has 236 yards (78.7 yds/g) and a TD on the ground, while also being the 3rd leading receiver for the Charges with 142 yards on 16 receptions. QB Justin Herbert, who has filled in for the injured Tyrod Taylor the last two weeks, has completed 69.5% of his passes for 641 yards (337.0 passing yds/g), 2 TD, and 2 INT. Also, in the backfield has been Joshua Kelley who had picked up 167 rushing yards and a TD on 43 carries. Leading the way for the Los Angeles receivers has been WR Keenan Allen (24 rec, 265 yards, TD), TE Hunter Henry (16 rec, 206 yards), and Mike Williams (7 rec, 100 yards).

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Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing their opponents to average 19.0 ppg on 352.7 total yards per game (243.3 passing yds/g; 109.3 rushing yds/g).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won their 2nd straight game and improved to 2-1 on the season after defeating the Denver Broncos, 28-10, this past Sunday. Tampa Bay’s defense was outstanding in putting pressure on the Broncos throughout the game and Tampa Bay had no trouble picking up the victory after Mike Evans 2nd TD catch of the day gave the Buccaneers a 23-3 lead with 2:19 left in the 1st half. Tampa Bay outgained Denver by a 353-226 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Buccaneers was QB Tom Brady who completed 25 of 38 passes for 297 yards & 3 TD’s.

On the season, Tampa Bay is averaging 27.3 ppg on 343.0 total yards per game (251.0 passing yds/g; 92.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Tampa Bay has been led by QB Tom Brady who has completed 65.1% of his passes for 753 yards (254.0 yds/g), 6 TD, and 3 INT. Brady and the Buccaneers have a ton of weapons at the receiver positions and have been led by Chris Godwin (11 rec, 143 yards, TD), Scotty Miller (10 rec, 167 yards), Mike Evans (10 rec, 108 yards, 4 TD), O.J. Howard (8 rec, 96 yards, TD), and Rob Gronkowski (8 rec, 59 yards). Leading the way for the Tampa Bay backfield has been Ronald Jones II (37 att, 142 yards, TD) and Leonard Fournette (24 att, 123 yards, 2 TD).

Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing their opponents to average 20.3 ppg on 335.0 total yards per game (264.7 passing yds/g; 70.3 rushing yds/g).

The Chargers are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, however, are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Los Angeles has had some bright spots this season, however, it has to be concerning that the Chargers could not take of business at home agianst a Carolina Panthers team that was missing Christina McCaffrey. Tampa Bay’s offense is looking better and better every week, however, I’m taking Tampa Bay this week as I think their high pressure defense, which made life miserable last week for Denver’s Jeff Driskel, is going to force at least three Chargers turnovers. Take Tampa Bay to cover this large home spread. Good Luck!   

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Brett’s Pick Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Chargers NFL Pick and Prediction 10/4/20 Week 4 NFL Betting Tips

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