Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 12/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 12/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Falcons (6-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 -- Over/Under: 50.5

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The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in week 17 NFL action at Raymond James Stadium.

The Atlanta Falcons look for another win after winning five of their last seven games. The Atlanta Falcons have won their last three road games. Matt Ryan is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 4,153 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 14 games. Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley have combined for 2,202 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Austin Hooper has 68 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 84.9 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 598 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 25.1 points and 357.6 yards per game. De’Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 126 tackles, Vic Beasley Jr. has eight sacks and Desmond Trufant has four interceptions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers also look to end the year on a high note after winning five of their last seven games. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have split their last four home games. Jameis Winston is completing 61 percent of his passes for 4,908 yards, 31 touchdowns and 28 interceptions. Winston has 12 touchdown passes in his last five games. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have combined for 2,490 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns while Breshad Perriman has 31 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 92.3 yards per contest, and Ronald Jones II leads the way with 618 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 28.1 points and 342 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 116 tackles, Shaquil Barrett has 16.5 sacks and Sean Murphy-Bunting has three interceptions.

The Falcons are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Buccaneers are 0-5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC and 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games in December. The over is 11-2 in Buccaneers last 13 games overall. The Falcons are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Tampa Bay. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

The Atlanta Falcons have been a completely different team since their bye week and look like the playoff contender we expected to see from the start. Obviously too little too late, but the Falcons have been a profitable team we've been riding the last couple of months. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have played above expectations, but right when you're ready to buy what they're selling, Winston returns to the interception machine he's been for most of his carer and it reminds you why you can't trust this team. The Atlanta Falcons are playing better, cleaner football and they have the more trustworthy quarterback in this meaningless matchup. Give me the road team and the free point. 


Randy’s Pick Atlanta Falcons +1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.