Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers - 12/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers - 12/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Chargers (5-10) at Kansas City Chiefs (11-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5

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The Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in week 17 NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Los Angeles Chargers look to play spoiler after losing five of their last six games. The Los Angeles Chargers have split their last six road games. Philip Rivers is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 4,334 yards, 21 touchdowns and 18 interceptions. Rivers has three touchdown passes in five of his last 19 games. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams have combined for 2,080 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Austin Ekeler has 83 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 89.7 yards per contest, and Melvin Gordon leads the way with 566 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 20.9 points and 311.5 yards per game. Thomas Davis leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 112 tackles, Joey Bosa has 11.5 sacks and Rayshawn Jenkins has three interceptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs look to build on their five-game winning streak and chase a top seed in the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs have won their last three home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66 percent of his passes for 3,857 yards, 25 touchdowns and four interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last 13 games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for 2,004 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 51 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 93.8 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 465 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 19.1 points and 348.5 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 78 tackles, Chris Jones has eight sacks and Tyrann Mathieu has three interceptions.

The Chargers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Chiefs are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 vs. AFC West, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 road games. The under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games overall. The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Kansas City and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The road team is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Four of the last eight meetings between the Chargers and Chiefs have been decided by seven or less points. While the Los Angeles Chargers aren't winning games this season, nine of their 10 losses have been decided by one score, including when these teams met back in November. The Kansas City Chiefs are starting to heat up at the right moment and have covered five straight games. I'm still leaning toward the points and the Chargers mainly due to the hook being on top of the full touchdown. Get this line under seven and I'd probably lean toward the Chiefs. With the Chargers hanging around each week despite their losses, I want the line at what it's at. 

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Randy’s Pick Los Angeles Chargers +7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.