Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions - 12/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions - 12/29/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

Green Bay Packers (12-3) at Detroit Lions (3-11-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions +12.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5

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The Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions meet Sunday in NFL week 17 action at the Ford Field.

The Green Bay Packers look for another win to build on their four-game winning streak. The Green Bay Packers have won five of their last seven games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 3,679 yards, 24 touchdowns and three interceptions. Rodgers has two or more touchdown passes in 13 of his last 25 games. Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling have combined for 1,337 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Aaron Jones has 47 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 111.7 yards per contest, and Jones leads the way with 984 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 19.5 points and 355.8 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Green Bay Packers with 148 tackles, Za'Darius Smith has 13.5 sacks and Kevin King has five interceptions.

The Detroit Lions need a win here to snap an eight-game losing streak. The Detroit Lions have lost their last three home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 2,499 yards, 19 touchdowns and five interceptions. Stafford has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 16 games. Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. have combined for 1,897 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns while Danny Amendola has 60 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 98.5 yards per contest, and Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 350 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 26.7 points and 398.3 yards per game. Tracy Walker leads the Detroit Lions with 97 tackles, Trey Flowers has seven sacks and Darius Slay has two interceptions.

The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC North, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Packers last 7 games overall. The over is 7-3 in Lions last 10 games overall. The Packers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The favorite is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 meetings. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

The Green Bay Packers have a chance to earn the top seed in the NFC, so they're not going to be playing with the Lions. The Detroit Lions have scored 20 or less points in each of their last five games and have been just as bad ATS as they've been SU during this losing stretch. It's impossible to back a team that's failed to cover nine of their last 10 games. The Packers should win this game comfortably, so I'll lay the chalk with the road team.

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Randy’s Pick Green Bay Packers -12.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.