Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans - 12/21/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans - 12/21/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Texans (9-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7)

NFL Football: Saturday, December 21, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 -- Over/Under: 53

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The Houston Texans and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Saturday in week 16 NFL action at Raymond James Stadium.

The Houston Texans look for another win after winning five of their last seven games. The Houston Texans have won three of their last five road games. Deshaun Watson is completing 67.8 percent of his passes for 3,668 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in 14 of his last 23 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V have combined for 1,801 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Kenny Stills has 35 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 130.9 yards per contest, and Carlos Hyde leads the way with 1,030 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 23.6 points and 379.4 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 133 tackles, Whitney Mercilus has 5.5 sacks and Tashaun Gipson has three interceptions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to play spoiler while building on their four-game winning streak. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have split their last four home games. Jameis Winston is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 4,573 yards, 30 touchdowns and 24 interceptions. Winston has 11 touchdown passes in his last four games. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans have combined for 2,590 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns while OJ Howard has 31 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 91.4 yards per contest, and Ronald Jones II leads the way with 541 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 28.4 points and 350.1 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 105 tackles, Shaquil Barrett has 16.5 sacks and Sean Murphy-Bunting has two interceptions.

The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Buccaneers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games overall. The over is 11-1 in Buccaneers last 12 games overall. 

The Houston Texans bounced back nicely from their bizarre loss to the Denver Broncos with a road win over the Tennessee Titans, and they're a team that's fighting for at least the third seed in the standings. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have surprisingly won four straight games and Winston is playing his best football since his FSU days. Underdogs have thrived on short rest this season and it's hard to argue the Bucs at home and a free point with them at home given their current form. However, the Texans have been the more consistent team all year and Deshaun Watson is one of those quarterbacks who thrives in big situations. I'll lay the small chalk with the Texans on the road. Excuse me if I'm still hesitant with these Bucs. 

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Randy’s Pick Houston Texans -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.