Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints - 12/16/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints - 12/16/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

Indianapolis Colts (6-7) at New Orleans Saints (10-3)

NFL Football: Monday, December 16, 2019 at 8:15 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -9 -- Over/Under: 46.5

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The Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints meet Monday in week 15 NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Indianapolis Colts need a win after losing five of their last six games. The Indianapolis Colts have lost their last three road games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 2,496 yards, 18 touchdowns and six interceptions. Brissett has two or more touchdown passes in six of his 12 games this season. Zach Pascal and Jack Doyle have combined for 951 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while T.Y. Hilton has 35 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 133.4 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 900 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 22.7 points and 345.1 yards per game. Darius Leonard leads the Indianapolis Colts with 92 tackles, Justin Houston has nine sacks and Kenny Moore II has two interceptions.

The New Orleans Saints look for a win after winning six of their last eight games. The New Orleans Saints have split their last four home games. Drew Brees is completing 73.6 percent of his passes for 2,140 yards, 17 touchdowns and four interceptions. Brees and Teddy Bridgewater have combined for 26 touchdown passes and six interceptions. Michael Thomas and Jared Cook have combined for 1,947 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Alvin Kamara has 68 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 108 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 612 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 22.8 points and 338.3 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 95 tackles, Cameron Jordan has 13.5 sacks and Marcus Williams has four interceptions.

The Colts are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Saints are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Colts last 6 Monday games. The over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 Monday games.

The Indianapolis Colts area desperate team fighting for their playoff lives, and while they're not playing well and are banged up, I just don't like leaving a ton of points on the table with a team in a must-win spot. The New Orleans Saints have been hard to read since their bye week, as the loss to the Falcons was bizarre and even in their wins the games have come down to the wire. I'm looking at the over in this game. The Saints seem to have found their groove offensively and the Colts defense is allowing 29.6 points during their three-game losing streak. This total seems low.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.