Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 12/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs - 12/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos (5-8) at Kansas City Chiefs (9-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 15, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -10 -- Over/Under: 45

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The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in week 15 NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Denver Broncos look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Denver Broncos have lost four of their last six road games. Drew Lock is completing 72.7 percent of his passes for 443 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Lock enters this game with 55 career pass attempts. Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant have combined for 1,432 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Emmanuel Sanders has 30 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 106.9 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 817 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 20.1 points and 331.2 yards per game. Todd Davis leads the Denver Broncos with 103 tackles, Derek Wolfe has seven sacks and Justin Simmons has three interceptions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs look for another win to build on their three-game winning streak. The Kansas City Chiefs have split their last six home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 3,266 yards, 21 touchdowns and three interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last 11 games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for 1,649 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 46 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 449 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 21.6 points and 364.8 yards per game. Damien Wilson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 73 tackles, Chris Jones has seven sacks and Tyrann Mathieu has three interceptions.

The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Chiefs are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC West, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 home games. The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Kansas City and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 5-2-2 in the last 9 meetings.

The Denver Broncos don't have much to play for these days, but they just beat the Houston Texans as double-digit underdogs and have a quarterback in Lock who looks like he could be the future of this franchise. The Kansas City Chiefs are in a bit of a letdown spot after beating the New England Patriots on the road last week. I'm not feeling this number, so I'm leaning toward the over. The over has hit in four of the Broncos last five games and five of the Chiefs last seven games. With two quarterbacks who let it fly, we should see an offense explosion. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.