Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots - 12/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New England Patriots - 12/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (10-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-12)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 15, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)

The Line: Cincinnati Bengals +9.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5

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The New England Patriots and Cincinnati Bengals meet Sunday in week 15 NFL action at Paul Brown Stadium.

The New England Patriots need a win here after losing three of their last five games. The New England Patriots have lost two of their last three road games. Tom Brady is completing 60.5 percent of his passes for 3,437 yards, 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 20 games. Julian Edelman and James White have combined for 1,549 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 28 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 96.2 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 653 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 12.9 points and 254.8 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 69 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 6.5 sacks and Devin McCourty has five interceptions.

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The Cincinnati Bengals look to play spoiler while rebounding from a rough 1-12 record. The Cincinnati Bengals have lost five of their last six home games. Andy Dalton is completing 60 percent of his passes for 2,757 yards, 10 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Dalton and Ryan Finley have combined for 12 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Tyler Boyd and Auden Tate have combined for 1,408 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Alex Erickson has 35 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 85.8 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 789 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 25 points and 399.5 yards per game. Nick Vigil leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 98 tackles, Carlos Dunlap has 5.5 sacks and Jessie Bates III has three interceptions.

The Patriots are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 47-23 ATS in their last 70 games overall. The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 road games. The under is 12-4-2 in Bengals last 18 games overall. The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

We've hit the last two weeks fading the New England Patriots, as this isn't the same team we're used to seeing due to receivers not being able to get open and Brady not dealing with pressure well. The problem is the Pats usually bounce back from losses in a big way and this feels like a perfect spot for them to take out some frustration. The Cincinnati Bengals have had success in the big underdog role, but the team is awful overall and their bigger losses have come against the better teams on their schedule. With the line just under a full 10 points, this is a spot where we can probably get on the Patriots. 

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Randy’s Pick New England Patriots -9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.