Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers - 12/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers - 12/15/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Falcons (4-9) at San Francisco 49ers (11-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 15, 2019 at 4:25 pm (Levi's Stadium)

The Line: San Francisco 49ers -11 -- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Atlanta Falcons and San Francisco 49ers meet Sunday in week 15 NFL action at Levi's Stadium.

The Atlanta Falcons look to play spoiler after splitting their last six games. The Atlanta Falcons have lost four of their last six road games. Matt Ryan is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 3,559 yards, 22 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 12 games. Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley have combined for 1,882 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Austin Hooper has 58 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 80.8 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 506 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 26.4 points and 366.4 yards per game. De’Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 106 tackles, Vic Beasley Jr. has six sacks and Desmond Trufant has four interceptions.

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The San Francisco 49ers look for their 12th victory as they chase a top-two seed in the NFC. The San Francisco 49ers have won five of their last six home games. Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 3,245 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Garoppolo has four touchdown passes in three of his last six games. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,394 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Emmanuel Sanders has 28 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 149.1 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 608 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 17.6 points and 267.4 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 95 tackles, Arik Armstead has 10 sacks and Richard Sherman has three interceptions.

The Falcons are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. The 49ers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in December and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games overall. The over is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games overall. 

The Atlanta Falcons have been a lot more competitive since their bye week in week 9, and that includes a 20-point win last week over the Carolina Panthers. The San Francisco 49ers have arguably been the most consistent team from start to finish this season, but five of their last six games have been decided by 10 or less points. The Falcons are playing well enough to hang in this game, and we certainly can't forget them winning in New Orleans as double-digit underdogs about a month ago. This feels like too many points to leave on the table. 

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Randy’s Pick Atlanta Falcons +11

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.