San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints - 12/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints - 12/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

San Francisco 49ers (10-2) at New Orleans Saints (10-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints -2.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5

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The San Francisco 49ers and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in week 14 NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The San Francisco 49ers look for a bounce back win after splitting their last four games. The San Francisco 49ers have won five of their last six road games. Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 69 percent of his passes for 2,896 yards, 21 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Garoppolo has 25 touchdown passes in his last 14 games. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,251 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Kendrick Bourne has 24 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 148 yards per contest, and Matt Breida leads the way with 542 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 15.3 points and 250.9 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 92 tackles, Arik Armstead has 10 sacks and Richard Sherman has three interceptions.

The New Orleans Saints look for a statement win to build on their three-game winning streak. The New Orleans Saints have won five of their last six home games. Drew Brees is completing 73.8 percent of his passes for 1,791 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. Brees and Teddy Bridgewater have combined for 21 touchdown passes and six interceptions. Michael Thomas and Jared Cook have combined for 1,749 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Alvin Kamara has 64 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 107.3 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 587 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 20.7 points and 323.5 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 88 tackles, Cameron Jordan has 13.5 sacks and Marcus Williams has four interceptions.

The 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC. The Saints are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 vs. NFC. The under is 8-3 in Saints last 11 games following a ATS win. The 49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

The San Francisco 49ers have done enough to remove doubt about being pretenders, as the defense is the best in the league and both of their losses came against Super Bowl contenders on a last second field goal. And while I give them more credit than before, I'm still going with the New Orleans Saints and the small chalk. I don't bet against the New Orleans Saints at home in big games, as that crowd gets nasty, the defense flies around and the offense comes to life. The San Francisco 49ers have the defense to hang around, but if Brees and company gets loose, that 49ers offense can't match. The Saints and the small chalk is one of the better plays of week 14.

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Randy’s Pick New Orleans Saints -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.