New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 12/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 12/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) at New England Patriots (10-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 4:25 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -3 -- Over/Under: 48.5

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The Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots meet Sunday in week 14 NFL action at Gillette Stadium.

The Kansas City Chiefs look for a statement win after splitting their last eight games. The Kansas City Chiefs have won four of their last five road games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 2,983 yards, 20 touchdowns and two interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for 1,521 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 42 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 94.5 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 410 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 22.1 points and 372.1 yards per game. Damien Wilson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 68 tackles, Chris Jones has six sacks and Tyrann Mathieu has three interceptions.

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The New England Patriots look to get back on track after splitting their last four games. The New England Patriots haven’t lost a home since October of 2017. Tom Brady is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 3,268 yards, 18 touchdowns and six interceptions. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 19 games. Julian Edelman and James White have combined for 1,427 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 28 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 96.3 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 645 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 12.1 points and 258 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 61 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 6.5 sacks and Devin McCourty has five interceptions.

The Chiefs are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, 19-9 ATS in their last 28 vs. AFC and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. The Patriots are 42-18-2 ATS in their last 62 home games, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 47-22 ATS in their last 69 games overall. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 17-7 in Patriots last 24 games overall. The over is 12-4 in Chiefs last 16 road games.

The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. The New England Patriots are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite. The Kansas City Chiefs looked like the team from last year last week when scoring 40 points and going 7-11 on third down. The New England Patriots have yet to be tripped up at home, but they have lost two of their last four games and are averaging just 17.3 points in their last three games. I know how dominant the Pats are at home and what the trends say, but this offense is struggling to do much, as Brady can't find receivers and the OL isn't blocking. If the Kansas City Chiefs are anywhere close to being the Kansas City Chiefs, the Patriots will have trouble keeping up. Give me the free field goal.

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Randy’s Pick Kansas City Chiefs +3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.