Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos - 12/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos - 12/8/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos (4-8) at Houston Texans (8-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -9.5 -- Over/Under: 41 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Broncos and the Houston Texans meet in week 14 NFL action from NRG Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Denver Broncos will look for another confidence win after a 23-20 win over the Chargers in their last outing. Drew Lock threw for 134 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 18 of 28 passing while Phillip Lindsay led the Broncos with 58 rushing yards on 17 carries. Courtland Sutton led Denver with 4 grabs for 74 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Defensively, Josey Jewell had a fumble recovery and Dre’Mont Jones added an interception while Derek Wolfe had a pair of sacks and Todd Davis led the Broncos with a team-high 10 total tackles. As a team, Denver is averaging 297.3 yards of total offense and 16.5 points per game while allowing 324.2 yards of total defense and 19.8 points per game against this season.

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The Houston Texans will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 28-22 win over New England in their last outing. Deshaun Watson threw for 234 yards and 3 touchdowns on 18 of 25 passing while DeAndre Hopkins added a touchdown pass as well. Duke Johnson led the Texans with 36 rushing yards while the aforementioned Hopkins had a team-high 5 catches for 64 yards. Kenny Stills had 3 grabs for 61 yards and a TD and Duke Johnson had 5 catches for 54 yards and a score while Darren Fells and Deshaun Watson each had a TD grab. Defensively, Bradley Roby had an interception while Benardrick McKinney, D.J. Reader and Zach Cunningham each had a team-high 7 total tackles while Jacob Martin had 1.5 sacks in the win. As a team, Houston 372.8 yards of total offense and 24.4 points per game while allowing 374 yards of total defense and 22.6 points per game against this season.

Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the AFC while the under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games. Houston is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games in December while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

I get Houston being favored here as they’re at home, are the better team, and are the only team going anywhere come playoff time most likely. However, this feels like a prime letdown spot for Houston after a pair of massive wins, one over Indianapolis and another over a solid New England team, going against a Denver team with nothing really to lose. The Broncos are still a decent team on defense and play the kind of hard-hitting, physical football that makes points come at a premium. I like the value of the free points with Denver here.

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Chris’s Pick Denver +9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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