New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals - 12/1/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals - 12/1/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

New York Jets (4-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-11)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 1, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)

The Line: Cincinnati Bengals +3 -- Over/Under: 41.5

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The New York Jets and Cincinnati Bengals meet Sunday in NFL action at Paul Brown Stadium.

The New York Jets look for another win after splitting their last eight games. The New York Jets have lost four of their last five road games. Sam Darnold is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 1,915 yards, 13 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Darnold has 15 touchdown passes in his last 10 games. Jamison Crowder and Robby Anderson have combined for 1,025 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Demaryius Thomas has 31 receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 73.5 yards per contest, and Le’Veon Bell leads the way with 557 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 23.5 points and 321.1 yards per game. Jamal Adams leads the New York Jets with 63 tackles, Jordan Jenkins has five sacks and Neville Hewitt has two interceptions.

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The Cincinnati Bengals could use a win to round from an embarrassing 0-11 record. The Cincinnati Bengals haven’t won a home game since December 16 of last year. Andy Dalton is completing 60.4 percent of his passes for 2,252 yards, nine touchdowns and eight interceptions. Dalton and Ryan Finley have combined for 11 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Tyler Boyd and Auden Tate have combined for 1,192 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Alex Erickson has 28 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 81.1 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 599 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 26.5 points and 417.2 yards per game. Nick Vigil leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 89 tackles, Geno Atkins has 4.5 sacks and Jessie Bates III has two interceptions.

The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 13 and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC. The Bengals are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games in December, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Bengals last 6 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games overall.

The New York Jets are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Cincinnati Bengals are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as home underdog. I don't want to lay chalk with the Jets as much as you do, but they've won three straight games and Darnold is experiencing possibly the best stretch of his young career. If you're taking the free field goal with the Cincinnati Bengals, you're basically saying there's a good chance they win this game, and I don't see it given their play through 11 games and the fact there's no reason to win with the top pick in the NFL draft all but wrapped up. I'll pinch my nose and take the Jets and the chalk, but there's better options on the board. 

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Randy’s Pick New York Jets -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.