Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos - 12/1/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Los Angeles Chargers (4-7) at Denver Broncos (3-8)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 1, 2019 at 4:25 pm (Empower Field at Mile High)
The Line: Denver Broncos +3 -- Over/Under: 38.5
The Los Angeles Chargers and the Denver Broncos meet in an AFC West division matchup from Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday afternoon.
The Los Angeles Chargers will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after their bye week following a 24-17 loss to Kansas City last time out. Philip Rivers threw for 353 yards, a touchdown and 4 interceptions while Melvin Gordon led the Chargers with 69 rushing yards on 14 carries. Austin Ekeler led the Chargers with 108 receiving yards on 8 catches while Mike Williams had 76 receiving yards and Keenan Allen had 8 grabs of his own for 71 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Thomas Davis Sr. led L.A. with 12 total tackles while Jaylen Watkins added 11 total tackles with a team-high 7 solo tackles and Rayshawn Jenkins chipped in an interception as well. As a team, Los Angeles is averaging 363.6 yards of total offense and 20.4 points per game while allowing 317.5 yards of total defense and 19.8 points per game against this season.
The Denver Broncos will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 20-3 loss to the Buffalo Bills last time out. Brandon Allen threw for 82 yards and a pick on 10 of 25 passing while Phillip Lindsay led the Broncos in rushing with 57 rushing yards on 13 carries. Courtland Sutton led Denver’s receiving group with 27 receiving yards while Noah Fant had a team-high 3 catches. Defensively, Alexander Johnson led the Broncos with 15 total tackles including 10 solo tackles while Todd Davis added 13 total tackles including 9 solo tackles of his own. Justin Simmons also recorded an interception in the losing effort for the Broncos. As a team, Denver is averaging 304.5 yards of total offense and 15.9 points per game while allowing 321.1 yards of total defense and 19.7 points per game against this season.
Los Angeles is 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 division games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the under is 20-5-1 in their last 26 games against the AFC. Los Angeles is 9-2-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings between these two teams in Denver.
I get the Chargers being favored on the road as their playoff lives essentially hang in the balance right now. However, the Broncos are already eliminated and just trying to play spoiler here and what better team to spoil than a division rival? The Broncos are also shifting QB duties to Drew Lock, who isn’t afraid to air it out from his time at Missouri and could be a breath of fresh air for this offense. I’m just done with the Chargers personally as they’ve let me down too many times to count, so I’ll take my chances with the free field goal and the Broncos here.