Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots - 12/1/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots - 12/1/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (10-1) at Houston Texans (7-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 1, 2019 at 8:20 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans +3 -- Over/Under: 45

TV: NBC

The New England Patriots and Houston Texans meet Sunday in week 13 NFL action at NRG Stadium.

The New England Patriots look for their 11th win of the season to keep pace for the top seed in the AFC. The New England Patriots have won five of their last six road games. Tom Brady is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 2,942 yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 18 games. Julian Edelman and James White have combined for 1,223 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 26 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 91.9 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 600 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 10.6 points and 256.4 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 58 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 5.5 sacks and Devin McCourty has five interceptions.

The Houston Texans look for a statement win after winning five of their last seven games. The Houston Texans have won their last three home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 69 percent of his passes for 2,899 yards, 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 20 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V have combined for 1,429 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Kenny Stills has 27 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 136.9 yards per contest, and Carlos Hyde leads the way with 836 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 22.6 points and 367.3 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 95 tackles, Whitney Mercilus has 5.5 sacks and Tashaun Gipson has two interceptions.

The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC and 47-21 ATS in their last 68 games overall. The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games overall.

The New England Patriots are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. The Houston Texans are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. The New England Patriots are finding ways to win games, but these games have been tight and it seems like Brady is being less effective by the week. The Houston Texans have had extra time to prepare for this game and their offense is about as healthy as it's been all season. The New England Patriots don't look as scary as they once did and we know Watson thrives in these big moments with the spotlight on him. I'll take the free field goal, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Texans won this game outright. 

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Randy’s Pick Houston Texans +3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.