Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears - 11/28/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Chicago Bears (5-6) at Detroit Lions (3-7-1)
NFL Football: Thursday, November 28, 2019 at 12:30 pm (Ford Field)
The Line: Detroit Lions +1 -- Over/Under: 39 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions meet Thursday in week 13 NFL action at Ford Field.
The Chicago Bears need a victory here after splitting their last 10 games. The Chicago Bears have split their last four road games. Mitch Trubisky is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 1,858 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. Chase Daniel and Trubisky have combined for 13 touchdown passes and eight interceptions. Allen Robinson and Taylor Gabriel have combined for 1,117 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Anthony Miller has 29 receptions. The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 78.5 yards per contest, and David Montgomery leads the way with 519 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 17.1 points and 315.6 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the Chicago Bears with 83 tackles, Khalil Mack has 6.5 sacks and Kyle Fuller has three interceptions.
The Detroit Lions need a victory here to snap a rough four-game losing streak. The Detroit Lions have lost three of their last four home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 2,499 yards, 19 touchdowns and five interceptions. Stafford has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 16 games. Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones Jr. have combined for 1,493 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while Danny Amendola has 42 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 105.6 yards per contest, and Kerryon Johnson leads the way with 308 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 26.5 points and 396.2 yards per game. Tracy Walker leads the Detroit Lions with 62 tackles, Devon Kennard has six sacks and Darius Slay has one interception.
The Bears are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC North, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Lions are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 home games. The under is 13-3 in Bears last 16 games overall.
The Chicago Bears are 4-4 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. The Detroit Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog. The Chicago Bears haven't won back-to-back games in two months and haven't won a game outside of Chicago since September 23. The Detroit Lions have won one game since week 4 and are being outscored by an average of 6.25 points during their four-game losing streak. As bad as Trubisky is, I still side with this Bears defense over anything the Lions bring to the table. I'm also not thrilled about backing Jeff Driskel on short rest. Offensive issues or not, the Chicago Bears are still the better team and should win this toss-up game.