Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-7) at Atlanta Falcons (3-7)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)

The Line: Atlanta Falcons -3.5 -- Over/Under: 52 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons meet Sunday in week 12 NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers need a win after losing five of their last six games. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost their last three road games. Jameis Winston is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 3,078 yards, 19 touchdowns and 18 interceptions. Winston has 19 touchdown passes in his last nine games. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have combined for 1,880 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Cameron Bate has 25 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 94.8 yards per contest, and Ronald Jones II leads the way with 423 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 31.3 points and 371.8 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 76 tackles, Shaquil Barrett has 11.5 sacks and Vernon Hargreaves III has one interception.

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The Atlanta Falcons look for a third straight victory to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. The Atlanta Falcons have lost their last three home games. Matt Ryan is completing 69.2 percent of his passes for 2,663 yards, 18 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last nine games. Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley have combined for 1,596 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Austin Hooper has 56 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 74.5 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 371 yards on 107 carries. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 26.2 points and 369.3 yards per game. De’Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 88 tackles, Grady Jarrett has 5.5 sacks and Desmond Trufant has three interceptions.

The Buccaneers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win and 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The favorite is 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 meetings and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games overall. The over is 8-0 in Buccaneers last 8 games overall.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. The Atlanta Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers continue to play sloppy football with a defense that can't get off the field and an offense that turns the ball over constantly. The Atlanta Falcons are playing their best ball of the season with two straight wins and the defense has allowed a combined 12 points. These are the Falcons I expected to see from the start. While it's probably too little too late, the Falcons should cruise in this game as well. 

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Randy’s Pick Atlanta Falcons -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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