New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Cowboys (6-4) at New England Patriots (9-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 4:25 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -6 -- Over/Under: 46

TV: FOX

The Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots meet Sunday in week 12 NFL action at Gillette Stadium.

The Dallas Cowboys look for a statement victory after splitting their last eight games. The Dallas Cowboys have won three of their last five road games. Dak Prescott is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 3,221 yards, 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Prescott has three or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 14 games. Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup have combined for 1,564 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Randall Cobb has 35 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 131.9 yards per contest, and Ezekiel Elliott leads the way with 833 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 19.7 points and 322.1 yards per game. Jaylon Smith leads the Dallas Cowboys with 90 tackles, Robert Quinn has 8.5 sacks and Xavier Woods has two interceptions.

The New England Patriots look for their 10th victory to keep their lead for the top seed in the AFC. The New England Patriots haven’t lost a home game since October of 2017. Tom Brady is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 2,752 yards, 14 touchdowns and five interceptions. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 17 games. Julian Edelman and James White have combined for 1,136 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 26 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 91 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 515 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 10.8 points and 249.9 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 48 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 5.5 sacks and Devin McCourty has five interceptions.

The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12 and 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Patriots are 42-17-2 ATS in their last 61 home games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 47-20 ATS in their last 67 games overall. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 16-6 in Patriots last 22 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games overall.

The Dallas Cowboys are 4-2 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. The New England Patriots are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite. The Dallas Cowboys continue to be one of the more inconsistent teams in the league, and they just had their hands full last week against a Lions team playing a backup quarterback. The New England Patriots offensive line is struggling and Brady has looked average for much of this season, but this team hasn't lost at home in over two years and has been absolutely ridiculous as a home favorite. I love betting against the public and I love me some underdogs, but the Pats at home are covering machines. Until that stops, I have to eat the chalk. 

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Randy’s Pick New England Patriots -6

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.