Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Dolphins (2-8) at Cleveland Browns (4-6)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 1:00 pm (FirstEnergy Stadium)

The Line: Cleveland Browns -10.5 -- Over/Under: 46

TV: FOX

The Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns meet Sunday in week 12 NFL action at FirstEnergy Stadium.

The Miami Dolphins look for a win to rebound from a rough 2-8 record. The Miami Dolphins have lost three of their last four road games. Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,687 yards, eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. Josh Rosen and Fitzpatrick has have combined for nine touchdowns and 13 interceptions this season. DeVante Parker and Preston Williams have combined for 1,032 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Mike Gesicki has 28 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 60.3 yards per contest, and Mark Walton leads the way with 201 yards on 53 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 30.5 points and 394.3 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 75 tackles, Taco Charlton has four sacks and Bobby McCain has two interceptions.

The Cleveland Browns need a win after losing four of their last six games. The Cleveland Browns have split their last four home games. Baker Mayfield is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 2,394 yards, 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Mayfield has at least one interception in seven of his 10 games this season. Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. have combined for 1,387 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Nick Chubb has 27 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 121.9 yards per contest, and Chubb leads the way with 1,011 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 22.8 points and 344 yards per game. Joe Schobert leads the Cleveland Browns with 92 tackles, Myles Garrett has 10 sacks and Juston Burris has two interceptions.

The Dolphins are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Browns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games in November and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Dolphins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 18-7-1 in Browns last 26 home games. The under is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 road games.

The Miami Dolphins are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as a double-digit underdog. The Cleveland Browns have been a double-digit favorite once in the last decade. The Cleveland Browns are playing their best football of the season with back-to-back wins, but they just lost their best pass rusher in Myles Garrett and are still a team that makes things difficult on itself with stupid mistakes. The Miami Dolphins don't win games, but they compete their tail off and play hard, and that defense has improved drastically over the last month. This is way too many points to lay with the Browns, as they need to learn how to win games outright consistently first. 

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Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins +10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.