Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Green Bay Packers (8-2) at San Francisco 49ers (9-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 8:20 pm (Levi's Stadium)
The Line: San Francisco 49ers -3 -- Over/Under: 47.5
The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers meet Sunday in week 12 NFL action at Levi's Stadium.
The Green Bay Packers look for a statement win after winning five of their last six games. The Green Bay Packers have won three of their last four road games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 2,718 yards, 17 touchdowns and two interceptions. Rodgers has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 20 games. Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling have combined for 957 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Aaron Jones has 35 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 102.1 yards per contest, and Jones leads the way with 589 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 20.5 points and 384.7 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Green Bay Packers with 102 tackles, Preston Smith has 10 sacks and Kevin King has three interceptions.
The San Francisco 49ers can win double-digit games for the first time since the 2013 season. The San Francisco 49ers have won four of their last five home games. Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 2,478 yards, 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Garoppolo has 22 touchdown passes in his last 12 games. George Kittle and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,014 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Kendrick Bourne has 19 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 149 yards per contest, and Matt Breida leads the way with 542 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 15.5 points and 253 yards per game. Fred Warner leads the San Francisco 49ers with 70 tackles, Arik Armstead has eight sacks and Richard Sherman has three interceptions.
The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The 49ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in November, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Packers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings in San Francisco and 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 meetings. The over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games overall. The over is 20-8 in Packers last 28 road games.
The Green Bay Packers are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. The San Francisco 49ers are 2-13-1 ATS in their 16 games as a home favorite. We're getting free points with a Packers team and Aaron Rodgers that has had an extra week to prepare and get healthier on the offensive side of the ball. The San Francisco 49ers have looked shaky at best each of the last three weeks, as the Cardinals took them down to the wire twice and the Seahawks gave them their first loss. If Rodgers and that Packers offense gets going, I have zero confidence that Garoppolo can make enough plays to counter. I'll gladly take the free field goal and the better quarterback.