Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos - 11/24/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos (3-7) at Buffalo Bills (7-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 1:00 pm (New Era Field)

The Line: Buffalo Bills -4 -- Over/Under: 37.5

TV: CBS

The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in week 12 NFL action at New Era Field.

The Denver Broncos look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Denver Broncos have lost four of their last five road games. Brandon Allen is completing 49.2 percent of his passes for 433 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Allen and Joe Flacco have combined for nine touchdowns and six interceptions. Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 1,172 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Noah Fant has 27 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 113.1 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 651 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 19.7 points and 310.8 yards per game. Todd Davis leads the Denver Broncos with 66 tackles, Derek Wolfe has five sacks and Justin Simmons has two interceptions.

The Buffalo Bills look for another win after winning four of their last six games. The Buffalo Bills have won three of their last five home games. Josh Allen is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 2,175 yards, 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Allen has one or less touchdown passes in 15 of his last 21 games. John Brown and Cole Beasley have combined for 1,266 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Dawson Knox has 20 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 128.7 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 476 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 17 points and 304.1 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 76 tackles, Jordan Phillips has seven sacks and Tre'Davious White has three interceptions.

The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC, 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on turf and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 12, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 7-3 in Bills last 10 games overall. The under is 21-8-1 in Broncos last 30 games overall.

The Denver Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. The Buffalo Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. The Denver Broncos nearly pulled off the upset of the week by taking it to the Minnesota Vikings, but now it's going to be interesting to see if they play with that same energy in the blistering cold. The Buffalo Bills took care of the Miami Dolphins and four of their last six wins have been decided by 10 or more wins. I'm not on the Bills bandwagon, but you have to give them credit for beating up on bad teams. The Denver Broncos are a bad team. I'll eat the chalk. 

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Randy’s Pick Buffalo Bills -4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.