Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts - 11/21/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts - 11/21/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Indianapolis Colts (6-4) at Houston Texans (6-4)

NFL Football: Thursday, November 21, 2019 at 8:20 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -3.5 -- Over/Under: 46.5

TV: FOX, NFL

The Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans meet Thursday in NFL action at NRG Stadium.

The Indianapolis Colts look for a win after winning four of their last six games. The Indianapolis Colts have split their last four road games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 1,797 yards, 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. Brissett has two or more touchdown passes in five of his nine games this season. T.Y. Hilton and Zach Pascal have combined for 724 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Eric Ebron has 27 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 141.1 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 862 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 20.6 points and 325.6 yards per game. Darius Leonard leads the Indianapolis Colts with 65 tackles, Justin Houston has eight sacks and Malik Hooker has one interception. 

The Houston Texans look for a win after winning six of their last nine games. The Houston Texans have won three of their last four home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 2,601 yards, 18 touchdowns and six interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 19 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V have combined for 1,195 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Kenny Stills has 26 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 140.7 yards per contest, and Carlos Hyde leads the way with 769 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 23.2 points and 374.4 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 79 tackles, Whitney Mercilus has 5.5 sacks and Tashaun Gipson has two interceptions.

The Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC South, 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games. The Colts are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Houston and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 7-1 in Texans last 8 home games. The under is 13-6 in Colts last 19 vs. AFC South.

The Indianapolis Colts are 4-4-1 ATS in their last nine games as a road underdog. The Houston Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. The Indianapolis Colts have won the last three meetings against the Texans and five of the last six meetings overall. The Colts just beat the snot out of the Jacksonville Jaguars and are 6-2 SU this season with Brissett at quarterback. The Houston Texans just got manhandled by the Baltimore Ravens, but they haven't lost two straight games all season and are averaging 40 points in their last two home games. I love me some Deshaun Watson and the Texans should be favored, but I question them defensively and most of their games come down to the wire, as four of their six wins have been decided by one score. Give me the points with the Colts, and the hook could be key.

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Randy’s Pick Indianapolis Colts +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.