Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers - 11/18/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers - 11/18/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas City Chiefs (6-4) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-6)

NFL Football: Monday, November 18, 2019 at 8:15 pm (Estadio Azteca)

The Line: Los Angeles Chargers +4 -- Over/Under: 52.5

TV: ESPN

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers meet Monday in NFL action at Estadio Azteca.

The Kansas City Chiefs need a win after splitting their last eight games. The Kansas City Chiefs have won four of their last five non-home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 2,626 yards, 18 touchdowns and one interception. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in five of his last eight games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for 1,284 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 40 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 90.8 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 371 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 23.9 points and 369.5 yards per game. Damien Wilson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 59 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 5.5 sacks and Charvarius Ward has two interceptions.

The Los Angeles Chargers need a win after losing four of their last six games. The Los Angeles Chargers have lost three of their last five non-home games. Philip Rivers is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 2,816 yards, 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Rivers has three touchdown passes in four of his last 14 games. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams have combined for 1,310 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Austin Ekeler has 57 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 86.1 yards per contest, and Ekeler leads the way with 340 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 19.4 points and 318.3 yards per game. Thomas Davis leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 78 tackles, Joey Bosa has 8.5 sacks and Rayshawn Jenkins has two interceptions.

The Chiefs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, 20-8 ATS in their last 28 vs. AFC West and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Chargers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in November, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC. The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Los Angeles and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 7-2 in Chargers last 9 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall.

The Kansas City Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. The Los Angeles Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog. The Chiefs are coming off a very bizarre loss to the Titans and that defense continues to struggle, as it's allowed 30 or more points in four of their last seven games. The Chargers are playing their best ball of the season over these last three weeks and all six of their losses have been decided by seven or less points. I don't think it's a secret that the Chiefs are the better team and with a healthy Mahomes, they should win this game. However, the Chargers are super talented, it's just a matter of playing up to their standards, and AFC West games tend to be a little weird. Throw in the weird environment of playing in Mexico City, and I'll side with the points.

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Randy’s Pick Los Angeles Chargers +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.