New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles - 11/17/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles - 11/17/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (8-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 4:25 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)

The Line: Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 -- Over/Under: 45

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles meet Sunday in NFL action at Lincoln Financial Field.

The New England Patriots look to rebound from a loss to the Baltimore Ravens and build on their 8-1 record. The New England Patriots have won four of their last five road games. Tom Brady is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 2,536 yards, 14 touchdowns and five interceptions. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 16 games. Julian Edelman and James White have combined for 1,067 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Phillip Dorsett has 23 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 92.9 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 482 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 10.9 points and 249.3 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 48 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has 4.5 sacks and Devin McCourty has five interceptions.

The Philadelphia Eagles need a statement win here after splitting their last eight games. The Philadelphia Eagles have won three of their last four home games. Carson Wentz is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 2,060 yards, 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. Wentz has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 19 games. Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffery have combined for 880 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Miles Sanders has 22 receptions. The Philadelphia Eagles ground game is averaging 127.3 yards per contest, and Josh Howard leads the way with 525 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Philadelphia is allowing 23.7 points and 326.3 yards per game. Rodney McLeod leads the Philadelphia Eagles with 49 tackles, Brandon Graham has six sacks and Nathan Gerry has two interceptions.

The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 46-20 ATS in their last 66 games overall. The Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass, 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 12-5 in Eagles last 17 home games. The under is 15-6 in Patriots last 21 games overall.

The New England Patriots are 6-6 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. The Philadelphia Eagles are 4-2 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog. The New England Patriots got bullied in the trenches of their last game and that defense that was arguably the best in the league showed some flaws. The Philadelphia Eagles have put together back-to-back complete performances and the defense has allowed 14 or less points in three of their last five games. It's always tough to bet against the Pats when coming off a bye, but the Eagles can do a lot of things with their front seven that the Ravens did to frustrate Brady. Wentz is also due for a breakout performance bfter being subpar through the air these last five weeks. I like the Philadelphia Eagles defense to keep them in this game and give themselves a chance to win late. 

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Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Eagles +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.