Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos - 11/17/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos - 11/17/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos (3-6) at Minnesota Vikings (7-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 1:00 pm (U.S. Bank Stadium)

The Line: Minnesota Vikings -10.5 -- Over/Under: 39.5

TV: CBS

The Denver Broncos and Minnesota Vikings meet Sunday in NFL action at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Denver Broncos look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Denver Broncos have lost three of their last four road games. Brandon Allen is completing 60 percent of his passes for 193 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Allen and Joe Flacco have combined for eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 1,059 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Noah Fant has 23 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 111.9 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 584 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 18.9 points and 309.7 yards per game. Justin Simmons leads the Denver Broncos with 53 tackles, Derek Wolfe has five sacks and Alexander Johnson has one interception.

The Minnesota Vikings look to stay hot after winning five of their last six games. The Minnesota Vikings have won all four home games this season. Kirk Cousins is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 2,437 yards, 18 touchdowns and three interceptions. Cousins has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 19 games. Stefon Diggs and Dalvin Cook have combined for 1,173 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Adam Thielen has 27 receptions. The Minnesota Vikings ground game is averaging 153 yards per contest, and Cook leads the way with 991 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 18.2 points and 333.1 yards per game. Eric Kendricks leads the Minnesota Vikings with 80 tackles, Danielle Hunter has 8.5 sacks and Anthony Harris has three interceptions.

The Broncos are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a bye week, 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Vikings are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games overall. The under is 21-7-1 in Broncos last 29 games overall.

The Denver Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit underdog. The Minnesota Vikings are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games as a double-digit favorite. The Denver Broncos just beat the Browns as big underdogs and have had an extra week to prepare, rest and get Allen more prepared for another start. The Minnesota Vikings are fresh off a massive win over the Cowboys and have quietly been one of the hotter teams in the league with a ridiculous ground attack and a more confident Cousins. If the Vikings play the way they played last week, they should cruise over a Denver team that's very limited offensively with a rookie quarterback. 

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Randy’s Pick Minnesota Vikings -10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.