Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 11/17/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 11/17/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Falcons (2-7) at Carolina Panthers (5-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 17, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Bank of America Stadium)

The Line: Carolina Panthers -5.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5

TV: FOX

The Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers meet Sunday in NFL action at Bank of America Stadium.

The Atlanta Falcons have a chance to win back-to-back games for the first time this season. The Atlanta Falcons have lost four of their last five road games. Matt Ryan is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 2,352 yards, 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Julio Jones and Austin Hooper have combined for 1,399 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Calvin Ridley has 36 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 76.8 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 371 yards on 107 carries. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 28.8 points and 371.8 yards per game. De’Vondre Campbell leads the Atlanta Falcons with 76 tackles, Grady Jarrett has 5.5 sacks and Desmond Trufant has two interceptions.

The Carolina Panthers look for a win after splitting their last four games. The Carolina Panthers have split their last four home games. Kyle Allen is completing 61.5 percent of his passes for 1,598 yards, 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Allen enter this game with 234 career pass attempts under his belt. DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel have combined for 1,126 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Greg Olsen has 35 receptions. The Carolina Panthers ground game is averaging 131.4 yards per contest, and Christian McCaffrey leads the way with 989 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Carolina is allowing 25.3 points and 363.4 yards per game. Luke Kuechly leads the Carolina Panthers with 82 tackles, Mario Addison has seven sacks and James Bradberry has three interceptions.

The Falcons are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Carolina and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 vs. NFC. The over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games overall.

The Atlanta Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. The Carolina Panthers are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The Atlanta Falcons looked like the team I expected to see at the start of the season, beating the Saints outright as two-touchdown underdogs. We now have to ask if that was a one week thing or a turning point. The Carolina Panthers have played well at home this season, but the offense has really fallen apart these last three games, and it relies way too much on McCaffrey to do everything. Slow him down and the Panthers can't do anything. While the Atlanta Falcons have to show more, the Panthers aren't good enough to be laying these numbers.

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Randy’s Pick Atlanta Falcons +5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.