Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers - 11/14/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers - 11/14/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Scott R. Galvin-USA TODAY Sports

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4) at Cleveland Browns (3-6)

NFL Football: Thursday, November 14, 2019 at 8:20 pm (FirstEnergy Stadium)

The Line: Cleveland Browns -2.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5

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The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns meet Thursday in NFL action at FirstEnergy Stadium.

The Pittsburgh Steelers look to stay hot while building on their five-game winning streak. The Pittsburgh Steelers have lost two of their last three road games. Mason Rudolph is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 1,330 yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Rudolph enters this game with 203 career pass attempts under his belt. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Diontae Johnson have combined for 866 receiving yards and six touchdowns while James Washington has 20 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 83.2 yards per contest, and Conner leads the way with 380 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 20.1 points and 332.2 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 69 tackles, T.J. Watt has 9.5 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has five interceptions.

The Cleveland Browns need another win after losing four of their last five games. The Cleveland Browns have lost three of their last four home games. Baker Mayfield is completing 59.9 percent of his passes for 2,201 yards, nine touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Mayfield has at least one interception in seven of his nine games this season. Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. have combined for 1,284 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Nick Chubb has 27 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 123.9 yards per contest, and Chubb leads the way with 919 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 24.6 points and 356 yards per game. Joe Schobert leads the Cleveland Browns with 82 tackles, Myles Garrett has 10 sacks and Devaroe Lawrence has one interception.

The Steelers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC North and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC North and 21-44-2 ATS in their last 67 games overall. The Steelers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 17-7-1 in Browns last 25 home games. The under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games overall.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. The Cleveland Browns are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. The Steelers are relying on an aggressive defense that forces takeaways during this five-game winning streak while the offense does just enough to squeeze out victories. The Browns managed to beat the Buffalo Bills last week to keep their season alive, but they did everything they could to make that game more competitive than it should have been. The Pittsburgh Steelers have thrived in the underdog role, while the Browns remain awful ATS in these spots and are still a team that shoots itself in the foot way too often. Underdogs also thrive on Thursday night. With all that said, I'm laying the small chalk with the Browns at home. The Cleveland Browns are still the more talented team and maybe last week is a turning point in their season. 

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Randy’s Pick Cleveland Browns -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.