Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts - 11/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts - 11/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Dolphins (1-7) at Indianapolis Colts (5-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 10, 2019 at 4:05 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Indianapolis Colts -11.5 -- Over/Under: 44 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Dolphins and Indianapolis Colts meet Sunday in week 10 NFL action at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Miami Dolphins look to win back-to-back games for the first time since December. The Miami Dolphins have lost all three road games this season. Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 1,195 yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. Josh Rosen and Fitzpatrick has have combined for nine touchdowns and 12 interceptions this season. Preston Williams and DeVante Parker have combined for 828 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Mike Gesicki has 21 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 63.8 yards per contest, and Mark Walton leads the way with 201 yards on 53 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 32 points and 402.4 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 55 tackles, Taco Charlton has four sacks and Bobby McCain has one interception.

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The Indianapolis Colts look for another win after winning five of their last seven games. The Indianapolis Colts have won three of their last four home games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 1,649 yards, 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Brissett has two or more touchdown passes in five of his eight games this season. T.Y. Hilton and Zach Pascal have combined for 681 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Eric Ebron has 18 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 129.8 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 679 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 22.1 points and 339.9 yards per game. Anthony Walker leads the Indianapolis Colts with 54 tackles, Justin Houston has six sacks and Malik Hooker has one interception. 

The Dolphins are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 10 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Colts are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 games following a straight up loss, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 0-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Indianapolis and the road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 home games. The under is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.

The Miami Dolphins are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit underdog. The Indianapolis Colts are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit favorite. The Miami Dolphins may have won last week, but they're a team trying to lose and get the top pick, so don't expect this team to get crazy and go out there trying to win again. With that said, the Indianapolis Colts aren't blowing the doors off anybody, and all five of their wins this season have been decided by an average of four points. It seems like every Colts game this season has come down to the wire. Give me the Dolphins and the points, as they improve to 5-0 ATS since their bye week.

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Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins +11.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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