Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills - 11/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills - 11/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Bills (6-2) at Cleveland Browns (2-6)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 10, 2019 at 1:00 pm (FirstEnergy Stadium)

The Line: Cleveland Browns -3 -- Over/Under: 40.5

TV: DAZN, CBS

The Buffalo Bills and the Cleveland Browns meet in a week 10 NFL matchup from FirstEnergy Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Buffalo Bills will look to add to their 6-2 start after picking up a 24-9 win over Washington in their last outing. Josh Allen has thrown for 1,653 yards, 10 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 60.9% passing while Frank Gore leads the Bills in rushing with 437 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Devin Singletary also has 267 rushing yards and 2 TDs and the aforementioned Allen has 4 rushing TDs at the quarterback position. John Brown leads Buffalo in receiving with 42 grabs for 603 yards while Cole Beasley has 35 catches for 337 yards and 3 TDs. Dawson Knox, Isaiah McKenzie, Singletary and T.J. Yeldon each have 100+ receiving yards for Buffalo this season. Defensively, Tremaine Edmunds leads Buffalo with 61 total tackles while Jordan Poyer has 58 total tackles including a team-high 38 solo tackles. Jordan Phillips also leads the Bills with 6 sacks this season. As a team, Buffalo is averaging 336 yards of total offense and 19.8 points per game while allowing 296.2 yards of total defense and 16.4 points per game against this season.

The Cleveland Browns will be out to snap a four game losing streak after a 24-19 loss to Denver in their last outing. Baker Mayfield has thrown for 1,963 yards, 7 touchdowns and 12 picks on 58.7% passing while Nick Chubb leads the Browns in rushing with 803 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. Odell Beckham Jr. lead s Cleveland’s receiving group with 575 receiving yards on 39 catches while Jarvis Landry has 36 grabs for 555 yards. Defensively, Joe Schobert leads the Browns with 77 total tackles including a team-high 55 solo tackles while Myles Garrett leads Cleveland with 10 sacks. As a team, Cleveland is averaging 346 yards of total offense and 19 points per game while allowing 357.5 yards of total defense and 25.6 points per game against this season.

Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against the AFC. Cleveland is 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a winning record and 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games in November. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Call me crazy, but I have no clue why Cleveland is favored here, maybe someone sees something I don't see. Yes, the Browns are at home and the Bills’ 6 wins haven’t been a murderers’ row of opposition, but this is a Browns team that’s in full on struggle mode and just lost to a Denver team sending a QB out who had never thrown a pass in a game prior to last week. There’s something seriously wrong with the Browns right now and I’m not going anywhere near them until they figure it out, especially as a favorite. I’ll take my free field with what I think is the better team getting points, and that’s Buffalo.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.