Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals - 11/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Baltimore Ravens (6-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-8)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 10, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals +10 -- Over/Under: 44.5
The Baltimore Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals meet in a week 10 AFC North division matchup in NFL action from Paul Brown Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
The Baltimore Ravens will look to build on their current 4-game winning streak after a 37-20 win over New England in their last outing, handing the Patriots their first loss of the season. Lamar Jackson has thrown for 1,813 yards, 12 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 64.3% passing while also leading Baltimore in rushing with 637 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Mark Ingram II has 585 rushing yards and 7 TDs while Gus Edwards has chipped in 261 rushing yards. Mark Andrew leads the Ravens in receiving with 38 grabs for 470 yards and 3 touchdowns while Marquise Brown has 24 catches for 374 yards and 3 scores and Willie Snead IV has 238 receiving yards this season. Defensively, Patrick Onwuasor leads the Ravens with 38 total tackles including 30 solo tackles while Matthew Judon has a team-high 4 sacks and Marlon Humphrey and Earl Thomas III each have a pair of interceptions this season. As a team, Baltimore is averaging the 2nd-most yardage per game, averaging 427 yards of total offense including the most rushing yards per game in the NFL, averaging 204.9 yards per game as well as the highest-scoring offense in the league, putting up 31.4 points per game this season. On defense, the Ravens are allowing 348.8 yards of total defense and 22 points per game against this season.
The Cincinnati Bengals will be on the hunt for their first win after their bye week, falling to 0-8 on the year after a 24-10 loss to the Rams on the road last time out. Andy Dalton leads the Bengals with 2,252 yards, 9 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 60.4% passing, but it was announced that Dalton would be benched for this game in place of backup Ryan Finley, the Bengals’ 4th round draft pick out of NC State in this past draft. Joe Mixon leads Cincinnati in rushing with 320 rushing yards while Tyler Boyd has 536 receiving yards on 51 catches this year to lead the Bengals’ receiving corps. Auden Tate, Alex Erickson and John Ross III all have 300+ receiving yards for Cincinnati this season. Defensively, Nick Vigil leads the Bengals with 65 total tackles while Shawn Williams is right behind with 64 total tackles including a team-high 48 solo tackles and Jessie Bates III has 62 total tackles this season. Sam Hubbard and Geno Atkins are also tied for the Bengals’ lead with 3 sacks apiece this season. As a team, Cincinnati is averaging 317.2 yards of total offense and 15.5 points per game while allowing 435.8 yards of total defense and 26.2 points per game against this season.
Baltimore is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 division games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against the AFC. Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games while the under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 division games. Baltimore is 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams and 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.
The points with the Bengals are somewhat tempting as Cincinnati has been fairly competitive despite their record, including a backdoor cover against these same Ravens just a few weeks ago. Finlay could also be the answer to what ails Cincinnati and can maybe provide some rookie magic that the situation has brought out in recent years. The Ravens could also be in for a letdown after such a big win against New England. However, I’m still not sure what to expect from Finlay, and I’m not the kind of person to just throw my money in the dark and hope it comes back with an unknown like Finlay. The Ravens also aren’t the kind of team I’d want to see on the other side making my first career start, as Baltimore still gets after it defensively and are one of the hardest-hitting teams in the NFL. I just think the Ravens will have some mojo after silencing some doubters with their win over the Patriots last week, so it’s either laying the points with Baltimore or pass for me in this one.