New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens - 11/3/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports
New England Patriots (8-0) at Baltimore Ravens (5-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 3, 2019 at 8:20 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)
The Line: Baltimore Ravens +3 -- Over/Under: 46.5
The New England Patriots and the Baltimore Ravens meet in a marquee week 9 NFL matchup from M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday night football.
The New England Patriots will look to build on their perfect 8-0 start after a 27-13 win over Cleveland in their last outing. Tom Brady has thrown for 2,251 yards, 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 64.7% passing while Sony Michel leads the Pats in rushing with 464 yards and 6 touchdowns. Julian Edelman leads the Patriots with 574 receiving yards and 53 catches with 4 touchdowns while James White has 358 receiving yards. Phillip Dorsett II also has 286 receiving yards and 4 TDs. Defensively, Jamie Collins Sr. leads the Patriots with 44 total tackles including a team-high 35 solo tackles while leading New England with 6 sacks as well as contributing 3 interceptions. Kyle Van Noy and Adam Butler each have 4.5 sacks while Devin McCourty leads New England with 5 interceptions and Stephon Gilmore has 3 picks. As a team, New England is averaging 369.9 yards of total offense as well as the highest-scoring offense in the NFL with 31.2 points per game while allowing just 234 yards of total defense and a league-low 7.6 points per game against this season.
The Baltimore Ravens come into this one rested after their bye week, hoping to build on their current three game winning streak after a 30-16 road win over Seattle last time out. Lamar Jackson has thrown for 1,650 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 63.3% passing while also leading the Ravens with 576 rushing yards. Mark Ingram II has 470 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns while Mark Andrews leads Baltimore’s receiving group with 449 receiving yards and 36 catches with 3 touchdowns. Marquise Brown has 326 receiving yards and Willie Snead IV has 223 receiving yards this season. Defensively, Patrick Onwuasor leads the Ravens with 30 total tackles while Matthew Judon has a team-high 4 sacks and Marlon Humphrey has a pair of interceptions. As a team, Baltimore is averaging the 2nd-most total yardage per game with 434.9 yards of total offense and the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league with 30.6 points per game while allowing 349.7 yards of total defense and 22.3 points per game against this season.
New England is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 46-19 ATS in their last 65 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the under is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a bye week. The road team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
This should be a fantastic game between the two highest-scoring offensive units in the NFL. The difference for me though is that Baltimore hasn’t been impressive ATS at home this season and a big chunk of Baltimore’s scoring came in week one against a brutal and still winless Miami team where the Ravens put up 59 points. New England has also be rock solid offensively, but the defense is the best in the league right now and hasn’t allowed more than 14 points in a game this season. The Ravens as a home dog in primetime is tempting, but until I have a reason to go against New England, I’m riding the Patriots, especially with a low line.