Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers - 11/3/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers - 11/3/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Indianapolis Colts (5-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 3, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Heinz Field)

The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers +1 -- Over/Under: 43

TV: CBS

The Indianapolis Colts and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action at Heinz Field.

The Indianapolis Colts look to stay hot after winning five of their last six games. The Indianapolis Colts have won two of their last three road games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 1,590 yards, 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Brissett has two or more touchdown passes in five of his seven games this season. T.Y. Hilton and Zach Pascal have combined for 605 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Eric Ebron has 16 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 128.4 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 590 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 21.6 points and 349.4 yards per game. Anthony Walker leads the Indianapolis Colts with 44 tackles, Justin Houston has five sacks and Malik Hooker has one interception.

The Pittsburgh Steelers look for another win after winning three of their last four games. The Pittsburgh Steelers have split their last four home games. Mason Rudolph is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 897 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Rudolph enters this game with 130 career pass attempts under his belt. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Diontae Johnson have combined for 739 receiving yards and six touchdowns while James Conner has 29 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 88.1 yards per contest, and Conner leads the way with 380 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 20.7 points and 336.6 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 59 tackles, T.J. Watt has six sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has three interceptions.

The Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games in November and 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 13-6 in Steelers last 19 home games. The under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 road games.

The Indianapolis Colts are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-2-2 ATS in their last nine games as a home underdog. The Pittsburgh Steelers beat up on a disappointing Chargers team and a tanking Dolphins team, and now they're in a near pick em with one of the better and more consistent teams in the Indianapolis Colts? This line makes no sense to me, especially with Conner being questionable with a shoulder injury at the time this article is published. I could also argue the Dolphins beat the Steelers last week if they failed to remember they're supposed to be tanking and gifted Pittsburgh that touchdown before halftime. Rudolph isn't scaring anybody at the quarterback position. I'll gladly take the Colts and the cheap line. 

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Randy’s Pick Indianapolis Colts -1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.