Denver Broncos vs. Cleveland Browns - 11/3/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos vs. Cleveland Browns - 11/3/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Browns (2-5) at Denver Broncos (2-6)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 3, 2019 at 4:25 pm (Broncos Stadium at Mile High)

The Line: Denver Broncos +2.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5

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The Cleveland Browns and Denver Broncos meet Sunday in NFL action at Empower Field at Mile High.

The Cleveland Browns need a feel good win here after losing their last three games. The Cleveland Browns have split their last four road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 57.6 percent of his passes for 1,690 yards, six touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Mayfield has at least one interception in all seven games this season. Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. have combined for 992 receiving yards and one touchdown while Ricky Seals-Jones has seven receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 125.4 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 738 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 25.9 points and 365.4 yards per game. Joe Schobert leads the Cleveland Browns with 73 tackles, Myles Garrett has 10 sacks and Devaroe Lawrence has one interception.

The Denver Broncos also need a victory to rebound from a rough 2-6 record. The Denver Broncos have lost three of their last four home games. Joe Flacco is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 1,822 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. Flacco has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his last nine games. Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 1,003 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Noah Fant has 20 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 110 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 492 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 18.9 points and 304.5 yards per game. Justin Simmons leads the Denver Broncos with 45 tackles, DeMarcus Walker has four sacks and Alexander Johnson has one interception.

The Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass, 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games in November and 21-43-1 ATS in their last 65 games overall. The Broncos are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. The under is 35-17-1 in Broncos last 53 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Browns last 7 road games.

The Cleveland Browns are 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. The Denver Broncos have split their last 10 games ATS as a home favorite. The Browns played the Patriots better than expected, and while theyre losing games, they can lean on the fact they hung around with the Seahawks and Patriots in back-to-back games. The problem here is the Browns don't cover numbers despite the sharps being on them every week, and this will be just the third time since 2017 where they'll be road favorites. I just don't understand backing the Browns when they fail to cover week after week and season after season. The Denver Broncos aren't doing anything special and have been held to 20 or less points in seven of their eight games, but we're getting free points to fade the Browns. I'll take it.


Randy’s Pick Denver Broncos +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.