Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins - 10/28/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins - 10/28/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Dolphins (0-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4)

NFL Football: Monday, October 28, 2019 at 8:15 pm (Heinz Field)

The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -14.5 -- Over/Under: 43

TV: ESPN

The Miami Dolphins and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Monday in NFL action at Heinz Field.

The Miami Dolphins look for a victory to prevent a brutal 0-7 start to the season. The Miami Dolphins have lost each of their last nine road games. Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 59 percent of his passes for 717 yards, three touchdowns and five interceptions. Josh Rosen and Fitzpatrick has have combined for four touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. Preston Williams and DeVante Parker have combined for 598 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Kenyan Drake has 22 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 66.7 yards per contest, and Drake leads the way with 174 yards on 47 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 35.2 points and 417.3 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 39 tackles, Taco Charlton has three sacks and Bobby McCain has one interception.

The Pittsburgh Steelers need a victory here to rebound from a 2-4 start and save their season. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won six of their last nine home games. Mason Rudolph is completing 67 percent of his passes for 646 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Rudolph enters this game with 94 career pass attempts under his belt. JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Conner have combined for 571 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Diontae Johnson has 20 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 76.5 yards per contest, and Conner leads the way with 235 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 21.8 points and 354.3 yards per game. Devin Bush leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 52 tackles, T.J. Watt has four sacks and Mike Hilton has one interception.

The Dolphins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Monday games, 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games overall.

The Miami Dolphins have failed to cover seven of their last 10 games as a double-digit underdog. The Pittsburgh Steelers have failed to cover 11 of their last 15 games as a double-digit favorite. The Miami Dolphins have been a lot more competitive as of late, and they're only losing their last three games by an average of 10.3 points. The Pittsburgh Steelers have had an extra week to prepare for this game, but they're still starting a backup quarterback and have a lot of injuries on both sides of the ball. The Dolphins are sloppy and clearly aren't trying to win, but they're playing harder and the Steelers don't deserve to be laying these type of numbers given how banged up they are. Give me the points, and the hook could very well be key in this game. 

Randy’s Pick Miami Dolphins +14.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.