Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers - 10/27/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers - 10/27/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Green Bay Packers (6-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2019 at 8:20 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs +4.5 -- Over/Under: 48

TV: NBC

The Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs will meet up on the NFL circuit Sunday. 

The Packers roll into this one at 6-1 so far. Outside of a loss to the Eagles, Green Bay has dispatched the Bears, Vikings, Broncos, Cowboys, Lions and Raiders this year. 

In the win over the Raiders, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers put up 429 yards and five score while Aaron Jones posted 50 rush yards. Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 133 yards and a TD on just two catches. 

Over on the Chiefs’ side, they’re 5-2 this season. Kansas City’s losses came to the Texans and Colts but otherwise they’ve beaten the Jags, Raiders, Ravens, Lions and Broncos. 

In the win over the Broncos, QB Matt Moore turned in 117 yards and a TD while LeSean McCoy led the rush on 64 yards for KC. Tyreek Hill managed 74 yards and a score on three catches there as well. 

The Packers are 4-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. Green Bay is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 after an ATS win and the over is 4-1 in their last five overall. 

Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Week 8 and 13-5 in their last 18 after an ATS win. KC is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and the under is 3-1-1 in their last five in October. 

Green Bay—and Aaron Rodgers in particular—has been quite impressive for most of the year, and the team is finding ways to win even in tight games. Seems like the Packers are gaining steam and they’re going to be a very dangerous team going forward. 

The (very likely) absence of Patrick Mahomes takes a lot of luster off this matchup, but the Chiefs can still score pretty well without him. So long as this number stays below six or so however, I’m pretty firmly on the Packers. 

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Andrew’s Pick Green Bay Packers -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.