Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/27/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs - 10/27/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Green Bay Packers (6-1) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2019 at 8:20 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 -- Over/Under: 48

TV: NBC

The Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Green Bay Packers look for another victory to build on their impressive 6-1 record. The Green Bay Packers have lost seven of their last 10 road games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 2,019 yards, 13 touchdowns and two interceptions. Rodgers has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 17 games. Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Davante Adams have combined for 794 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jimmy Graham has 18 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 99.3 yards per contest, and Jones leads the way with 399 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 19.9 points and 381 yards per game. Blake Martinez leads the Green Bay Packers with 76 tackles, Preston Smith has seven sacks and Kevin King has three interceptions.

The Kansas City Chiefs look for another win after splitting their last four games. The Kansas City Chiefs have lost their last two home games. Matt Moore is completing 50 percent of his passes for 117 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. Moore has 147 pass attempts under his belt since 2017. Travis Kelce and Sammy Watkins have combined for 906 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Mecole Hardman has 18 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 82.3 yards per contest, and LeSean McCoy leads the way with 322 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 21.4 points and 377.3 yards per game. Damien Wilson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 44 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 3.5 sacks and Charvarius Ward has two interceptions.

The Packers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Chiefs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8 and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 51-25-1 in Chiefs last 77 home games. The over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games overall.

The Green Bay Packers have failed to cover six of their last nine games as a road favorite. The Kansas City Chiefs have covered eight of their last 13 games as a home underdog. The Kansas City Chiefs have the ability to stay in this game with their defense, as they have a top-10 pass defense in the league and can pressure the quarterback this year. Moore has also been one of the better backup quarterback options in the league these last few years, so it's not the end of the world to lose Patrick Mahomes for a game or two. The problem is the Green Bay Packers seem to be coming together both offensively and defensively, as they're getting stronger each week and absolutely torched the Raiders. If Rodgers is and this offense are going to keep getting chunk plays, they'll roll in this game. I'd love to get off the hook in this game if possible, but I'll take the Packers by a touchdown either way.

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Randy’s Pick Green Bay Packers -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.