Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts - 10/27/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts - 10/27/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Broncos (2-5) at Indianapolis Colts (4-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 27, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)

The Line: Indianapolis Colts -5.5 -- Over/Under: 43

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The Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts meet Sunday in NFL action at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Denver Broncos need a win here to save their season and bounce back from a 2-5 record. The Denver Broncos have lost four of their last five road games. Joe Flacco is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,648 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. Flacco has one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Courtland Sutton and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 921 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Royce Freeman has 25 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 109.6 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 433 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 19.4 points and 302.6 yards per game. Justin Simmons leads the Denver Broncos with 38 tackles, DeMarcus Walker has four sacks and Alexander Johnson has one interception.

The Indianapolis Colts look to keep the ball rolling after winning four of their last five games. The Indianapolis Colts have won eight of their last nine home games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 65 percent of his passes for 1,388 yards, 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Brissett has two or more touchdown passes in five of his six games this season. T.Y. Hilton and Zach Pascal have combined for 545 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Eric Ebron has 13 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 128.7 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 514 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 23 points and 361.2 yards per game. Anthony Walker leads the Indianapolis Colts with 37 tackles, Justin Houston has four sacks and Malik Hooker has one interception.

The Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC, 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Indianapolis and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 home games. The under is 20-6-1 in Broncos last 27 games overall.

The Denver Broncos have failed to over nine of their last 13 games as a road underdog. The Indianapolis Colts are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The Denver Broncos have scored 20 or less points in six of their first seven games and were dominated at home by a banged up Chiefs team without a starting quarterback. The Indianapolis Colts have been solid ATS this season and are coming off a strong performance against the Texans in a game that wasn't as close as the score indicated. This line is a little steeper than I'd like, but I'm not trying to step in front of the Indianapolis Colts right now, especially at home. I'll eat the chalk. 

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Randy’s Pick Indianapolis Colts -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.