New England Patriots at New York Jets - 10/21/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots at New York Jets - 10/21/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (6-0) at New York Jets (1-4)

NFL Football: Monday, October 21, 2019 at 8:15 pm (MetLife Stadium)

The Line: New York Jets +9.5 -- Over/Under: 44

TV: ESPN

The New England Patriots and New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium.

The New England Patriots look for another victory to improve to 7-0 and remain a top favorite for the Super Bowl. The New England Patriots have won six of their last nine road games. Tom Brady is completing 65.4 percent of his passes for 1,743 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Brady has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 13 games. Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon have combined for 736 receiving yards and three touchdowns while James White has 31 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 101.5 yards per contest, and Sony Michel leads the way with 348 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing eight points and 234.7 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the New England Patriots with 30 tackles, Chase Winovich has four sacks and Devin McCourty has four interceptions.

The New York Jets look for another victory to save their season and improve to 2-4 on the year. The New York Jets have lost seven of their last eight home games. Sam Darnold is completing 69.9 percent of his passes for 513 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Darnold has six touchdown passes in his last four games. Jamison Crowder and Robby Anderson have combined for 528 receiving yards and one touchdown while Le’Veon Bell has 28 receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 64 yards per contest, and Bell leads the way with 256 yards and on touchdown. Defensively, New York is allowing 24.6 points and 358 yards per game. Neville Hewitt leads the New York Jets with 37 tackles, Jordan Jenkins has two sacks and Jamal Adams has one interception.

The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 Monday games and 44-19 ATS in their last 63 games overall. The Jets are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games in October, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC East and 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New York and the home team is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The over is 7-3 in Jets last 10 home games. The under is 13-5 in Patriots last 18 games overall.

The New England Patriots have split their last eight games ATS when favored of seven or more points. The New York Jets are 4-6-1 ATS in their last 11 games when an underdog of seven or more points. The Patriots have been covering machines over the years, and they've won nine of the last 10 meetings against the Jets, with five of the last six wins being decided by double digits. Trends and history lean toward this being another comfortable win for the Pats, but the Jets are coming off their best showing of the year with a win over a good Cowboys team, and Darnold played arguably the best game of his young career. Throw in a one-point loss to the improved Buffalo Bills, and the Jets have looked decent in the two games with Darnold under center. I just don't like leaving a bunch of points on the table in a primetime spot with the home team. This may come back to bite me, but I'm siding with the Jets.

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Randy’s Pick New York Jets +9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.