Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills - 10/20/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills - 10/20/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Dolphins (0-5) at Buffalo Bills (4-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 1:00 pm (New Era Field)

The Line: Buffalo Bills -17 -- Over/Under: 40.5

TV: CBS

The Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills will match up on the NFL circuit Sunday in AFC East action. 

Miami tumbles in here at a disappointing 0-5 so far. The Dolphins have fallen to the Ravens, Patriots, Cowboys, Chargers and Redskins thus far. 

In the loss to the Redskins, Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick posted 132 yards and a TD, while Kenyan Drake led the rush on 40 yards. Mike Gesicki had 51 yards on three receptions as well. 

Over on the Bills’ side, they’re cruising at 4-1 so far. Buffalo fell to the Patriots 16-10 but otherwise they’ve taken care of the Jets, Giants, Bengals and Titans. 

In the Titans game, Buffalo QB Josh Allen logged 219 yards with two TDs and one INT, and Frank Gore added 60 yards rushing. John Brown caught five balls for 75 yards to lead the receivers there. 

The Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five in Week 7 and 5-12 ATS versus a team with a winning record. Miami is 2-5 ATS in their last seven after an ATS win and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games. 

Meanwhile, the Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus the AFC East and 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the AFC and 4-1 ATS in their last five after an ATS win. 

Well, there’s not much positive to say about the Dolphins right now, as they’re in full tank mode and can’t seem to do much of anything right. Their 16 points against the Redskins was the most they’ve scored all year, and it matched the total they posted for their first three games combined. 

Buffalo isn’t a perfect team either—and they stall on offense quite a bit—but they’re much more competitive than they’ve been in a long time, case in point only losing by six to the Patriots while holding them to 16 points. They aren’t just straight-up blowing people out though, and with a 17-point spread I have to take the hapless Dolphins to eke out a cover. It’s kind of a weird matchup, though. Can you remember the last time Buffalo was favored by this much against anyone? Strangely enough, I also wouldn’t be surprised to see them cover. 

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Andrew’s Pick Miami Dolphins +17

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.