Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins - 10/20/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports
Miami Dolphins (0-5) at Buffalo Bills (4-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 1:00 pm (New Era Field)
The Line: Buffalo Bills -16.5 -- Over/Under: 39
The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action at New Era Field.
The Miami Dolphins head into this contest with an 0-5 record and lost last week on the last play of the game. The Miami Dolphins have lost each of their last eight road games. Josh Rosen is completing 53.2 percent of his passes for 567 yards, one touchdown and five interceptions. Rosen and Ryan Fitzpatrick has have combined for three touchdowns and nine interceptions this season. Preston Williams and DeVante Parker have combined for 461 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Kenyan Drake has 19 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 58.2 yards per contest, and Drake leads the way with 153 yards on 41 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 36 points and 439.8 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 33 tackles, Taco Charlton has two sacks and Bobby McCain has one interception.
The Buffalo Bills are coming off a bye week and look to build on their surprising 4-1 record. The Buffalo Bills have won four of their last six home games. Josh Allen is completing 62.6 percent of his passes for 1,122 yards, five touchdowns and seven interceptions. Allen has one or less touchdown passes in 13 of his last 16 games. John Brown and Cole Beasley have combined for 657 receiving yards and one touchdown while Dawson Knox has 10 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 139.6 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 333 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 14 points and 275 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 35 tackles, Jordan Phillips has four sacks and Tre'Davious White has two interceptions.
The Dolphins are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC East, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Buffalo and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 18-8 in Bills last 26 home games. The under is 7-3 in Dolphins last 10 road games.
The Miami Dolphins have failed to cover seven of their last nine games as a double-digit underdog. The Buffalo Bills have covered eight of their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. The Dolphins are clearly tanking and have no interest in winning what so ever, but they've been better their last three games in terms of competing, as they hung around with the Dallas Cowboys, played two decent quarters against the Los Angeles Chargers and beat the Washington Redskins last week if they convert on a two-point conversion. The Bills have won four games and have had an extra week to prepare, but four of their five games have been decided by seven or less points. As bad as the Dolphins are, the Bills aren't out here lighting the scoreboard on fire and running away from teams. I'll take my chances with the points.