Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions - 10/14/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions - 10/14/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Lions (2-1-1) at Green Bay Packers (3-1)

NFL Football: Monday, October 14, 2019 at 8:15 pm (Lambeau Field)

The Line: Green Bay Packers -5 -- Over/Under: 46.5

TV: ESPN

The Detroit Lions and the Green Bay Packers will match up in primetime NFL action on Monday. 

Detroit comes into this one at 2-1-1 so far. The Lions posted a tie 27-27 versus Arizona in the opener, then took out the Chargers 13-10 and the Eagles 27-24 before falling to the Chiefs 34-30. 

In the Chiefs game, Lions QB Matthew Stafford tossed for 291 yards and three TDs, while Kerryon Johnson had 125 yards rushing. Marvin Jones led the Detroit receivers there with 77 yards on three catches. 

Over on the Packers’ side, they’re chugging along at 4-1 this year. Outside of a 34-27 loss to the Eagles, Green Bay has wins 10-3 over the Bears, 21-16 over the Vikings, 27-16 over the Broncos and 34-24 over the Cowboys. 

In the Week 5 win, Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers posted 238 yards passing and Aaron Jones had 75 yards on seven catches. Jones also had a great day rushing, leading the way on 107 yards and four scores. 

The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven after a bye week and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last five overall and 5-2 ATS in their last seven Monday games. 

Meanwhile, the Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five overall and 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 in October. Green Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 versus the NFC North and 2-5 ATS in their last seven Monday games. 

Detroit’s fans have been white-knuckling it the entire season so far, as both their wins came by three points, and the Chiefs game was another close one. The good news for the Lions here is that they’ll come in very well-rested and should have a good game plan in place for a familiar opponent. 

That said, Green Bay is looking very sharp so far this season, outside of that surprise versus the Eagles in the Thursday game. I expect this one to be another tight game; the Packers should win, but the line just seems a little thick. I’ll go Detroit on the cover. 

Andrew’s Pick Detroit Lions +5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.